Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 34

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Hebburn Town		Gainsborough Trinity

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.25
	2.04	3.47	3.26
	2.03	3.66	3.3	Watch
	2	3.1	3.3
	1.95	3.34	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.85)	3.36 ↓ (3.63)	3.31 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hebburn Town
45.4%

Draw
27.1%

Gainsborough Trinity
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

25.6%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

26.4%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hebburn Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Gainsborough Trinity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebburn Town than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hebburn Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Hebburn Town - Gainsborough Trinity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Martin G. ⚽,
9', 2 - 0, Heywood A. ⚽,
12', 2 - 1, Leckie J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Recent performances by Hebburn have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gainsborough is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hebburn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hebburn will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hebburn won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Hebburn won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Gainsborough	10	5	1	4	20:14	6	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hebburn Town
English NPL Premier Division
03.03.26	Hebburn Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Ilkeston - Hebburn Town	3:2 ✺
21.02.26	Leek Town - Hebburn Town	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Hebburn Town - United of Manchester	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Hednesford Town - Hebburn Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTTT
- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
24.02.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Leek Town	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	United of Manchester - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1 ✺
17.02.26	Whitby Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Workington	3:3 ✺
10.02.26	Bamber Bridge - Gainsborough Trinity	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
25.11.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Hebburn Town	1:4
19.04.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Hebburn Town	3:1
20.08.24	Hebburn Town - Gainsborough Trinity	2:1

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