Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 12

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Leek Town		Warrington Rylands

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.50	2.10
	2.75	3.4	2.12
	2.65	4.03	2.14
	2.79	3.92	2.2	Watch
	2.6	3.95	2.11
	2.98	3.52	2.23
	2.8	3.55	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.75)	3.7 ↑ (3.1)	2.15 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leek Town
33%

Draw
24.6%

Warrington Rylands
42.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32%

28.4%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

27.9%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leek Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Warrington Rylands has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warrington Rylands than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Leek Town - Warrington Rylands Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Leek will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Warrington Rylands will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leek (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Hurst A. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Jebrin J. ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, Hurst A. ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 1, Heath C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 3 - 2, Hardcastle B. ⚽,
65', 3 - 3, Wood H. ⚽,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 17th and 6th in the Promotion - NPL Premier Division Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

Leek is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Warrington Rylands shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Warrington Rylands may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Warrington Rylands has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Warrington Rylands holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Leek has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:7 (averaging 0:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Leek against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 0:3 goals (averaging 0:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Warrington Rylands	14	7	2	5	25:21	4	23
18	Leek	14	3	5	6	29:31	-2	14

Last Results with these Odds

Warrington Rylands - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 39.52%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leek Town
English NPL Premier Division
22.09.26	Leek Town - Hyde United	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Redcar Athletic - Leek Town	3:2 ✺
01.09.26	Leek Town - Warrington Town	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Workington - Leek Town	3:2 ✺
26.08.26	Avro - Leek Town	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLLT
- Warrington Rylands
English NPL Premier Division
03.10.26	Warrington Rylands - Emley	4:1 ✺
29.09.26	Ilkeston - Warrington Rylands	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
19.09.26	Warrington Rylands - Chorley	0:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
12.09.26	Warrington Rylands - Stockton Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
05.09.26	Warrington Rylands - Hyde United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
14.03.26	Leek Town - Warrington Rylands	0:2
01.11.25	Warrington Rylands - Leek Town	2:0
18.02.25	Warrington Rylands - Leek Town	2:0
15.10.24	Leek Town - Warrington Rylands	0:1

Leek Town - Warrington Rylands