Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 7

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Gainsborough Trinity		Warrington Town

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.6	4.2
	1.6	3.7	4.65
	1.59	3.9	4.65
	1.62	3.68	4.77
	1.78	3.25	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.8)	3.63 ↑ (3.32)	4.44 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainsborough Trinity
54.8%

Draw
24.9%

Warrington Town
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

27.4%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

26.4%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainsborough Trinity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Warrington Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Gainsborough Trinity - Warrington Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Margetts J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Tuntulwana S. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gainsborough won 1.

Gainsborough is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Warrington is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gainsborough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gainsborough is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gainsborough won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gainsborough won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
25.08.25	Cleethorpes Town - Gainsborough Trinity	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Lancaster City	0:0 ✺
19.08.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Stockton Town	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Warrington Rylands - Gainsborough Trinity	4:2 ✺
12.08.25	Ilkeston - Gainsborough Trinity	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WTWLW
- Warrington Town
English FA Cup
30.08.25	Warrington Town - Bamber Bridge	0:3 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
25.08.25	Leek Town - Warrington Town	3:1 ✺
19.08.25	Warrington Town - Ilkeston	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Whitby Town - Warrington Town	4:0 ✺
12.08.25	Hednesford Town - Warrington Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
01.04.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Warrington Town	1:1
11.10.22	Warrington Town - Gainsborough Trinity	0:2
11.12.21	Gainsborough Trinity - Warrington Town	1:1
11.09.21	Warrington Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:0
26.09.20	Warrington Town - Gainsborough Trinity	3:0
24.08.19	Gainsborough Trinity - Warrington Town	0:0
30.03.19	Warrington Town - Gainsborough Trinity	2:1

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