Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 4

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday


	Warrington Town		Ilkeston

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.35	2.15
	3	3.7	2.09
	3.32	2.87	2.35	Watch
	2.6	3	2.5
	3.02	3.3	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.33)	3.24 ↓ (3.25)	2.25 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warrington Town
31%

Draw
28.2%

Ilkeston
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

27.7%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

29.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warrington Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Warrington Town's form might have worsened.

Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilkeston's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Warrington Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilkeston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Warrington Town - Ilkeston Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Ilkeston (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ilkeston (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 1 - 0, Lusiama E. ⚽,

Preview

Warrington has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ilkeston is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Warrington won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Warrington won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warrington Town
English NPL Premier Division
16.08.25	Whitby Town - Warrington Town	4:0 ✺
12.08.25	Hednesford Town - Warrington Town	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Warrington Town - Cleethorpes Town	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Warrington Town - Buxton	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Warrington Town - Southport	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL
- Ilkeston FC
English NPL Premier Division
16.08.25	Ilkeston - Prescot Cables	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Ilkeston - Gainsborough Trinity	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Morpeth Town - Ilkeston	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Basford United - Ilkeston	0:4 ✺
26.07.25	Flint Town United - Ilkeston	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
04.03.17	Ilkeston - Warrington Town	0:2
10.09.16	Warrington Town - Ilkeston	4:1

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