Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 25Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday
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Galapagar |
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Carabanchel |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.88 |
3 |
2.3 |
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2.88 |
2.98 |
2.4 |
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1.20 |
5.11 |
20.50 |
 Watch |
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2.9 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
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2.95 |
2.9 |
2.4 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(2.32) |
3.36 ↑
(3) |
6 ↑
(2.97) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Galapagar
45.7% | Draw
34.8% | Carabanchel
19.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Galapagar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Galapagar's performance.Carabanchel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carabanchel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Galapagar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carabanchel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Galapagar - Carabanchel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', 1 - 0, Garcia S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', 1 - 1, Pastor F. ⚽,
- 68', 2 - 1, Figueroa A. G. d. ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 13).The recent form of both competitors has been shaky. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Galapagar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).Including home matches between the teams, Galapagar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Galapagar | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 8 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 | | | 26.10.25 | Carabanchel - Galapagar | 1:0 | | 26.01.25 | Carabanchel - Galapagar | 2:0 | | 15.09.24 | Galapagar - Carabanchel | 1:0 | | 03.04.22 | Galapagar - Carabanchel | 2:0 | | 05.12.21 | Carabanchel - Galapagar | 0:2 |
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