Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Las Rozas		Carabanchel

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.05	3.9
	1.92	3.1	4.34
	2.01	3.19	3.70	Watch
	1.91	3	3.9
	1.89	2.96	4.26
	1.9	2.9	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.72)	3.03 ↓ (3.2)	4.07 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Rozas
47.5%

Draw
30.1%

Carabanchel
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

27.2%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

25.1%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Rozas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Carabanchel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Rozas than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Rozas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (-2%)

Las Rozas - Carabanchel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90', 🟥,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Rozas won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Las Rozas is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Las Rozas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Las Rozas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2.7:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Las Rozas	5	3	1	1	11:6	5	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Rozas CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
01.02.26	Móstoles URJC - Las Rozas	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Las Rozas - San Sebastian Reyes B	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Racing Madrid - Las Rozas	0:3 ✺
11.01.26	Las Rozas - Galapagar	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Unión Adarve - Las Rozas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWTL
- RCD Carabanchel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
01.02.26	Carabanchel - Unión Adarve	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Villaverde San Andrés - Carabanchel	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Carabanchel - Atlético Madrid C	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Carabanchel - Siello	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Carabanchel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
28.09.25	Carabanchel - Las Rozas	0:1
13.04.25	Carabanchel - Las Rozas	2:0
01.12.24	Las Rozas - Carabanchel	2:1
20.03.22	Las Rozas - Carabanchel	6:2
21.11.21	Carabanchel - Las Rozas	0:1
12.05.19	Las Rozas - Carabanchel	0:3
23.12.18	Carabanchel - Las Rozas	1:1

Las Rozas - Carabanchel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide