Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 16

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday


	Cala Pozuelo		Galapagar

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	1.98
	3.25	3.25	2.05
	3.12	3.24	2.1
	3.32	3.37	2.04	Watch
	3.43	3.28	1.99
	3.25	3.25	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (4.19)	3.27 ↓ (3.51)	2.04 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cala Pozuelo
27.7%

Draw
27.8%

Galapagar
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

25.9%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

25.5%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cala Pozuelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cala Pozuelo's performance.

Galapagar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Galapagar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cala Pozuelo than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cala Pozuelo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Galapagar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cala Pozuelo - Galapagar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
61', 1 - 0, Redondo I. ⚽,
64', 2 - 0, Pascual D. ⚽,
86', 2 - 1, Gordo J. ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, Reguilon M. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).

Cala Pozuelo has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Galapagar is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Galapagar will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Cala Pozuelo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
15.12.24	Cala Pozuelo - Torrejón	0:2 ✺
07.12.24	Trival Valderas - Cala Pozuelo	4:2 ✺
01.12.24	Cala Pozuelo - Alcalá	0:4 ✺
24.11.24	Aravaca - Cala Pozuelo	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	México - Cala Pozuelo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- CD Galapagar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
15.12.24	Trival Valderas - Galapagar	1:1 ✺
06.12.24	Galapagar - Aravaca	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	México - Galapagar	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Galapagar - Parla	3:0 ✺
17.11.24	Villaverde San Andrés - Galapagar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWTWT

Upcoming Matches