Match Info

Super Lig - Round 24

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Rams Park (Istanbul)

Referee: Sansalan A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Canada	beIN Connect
China	ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 3
France	beIN Sports MAX 7
Hong-kong	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
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Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Mexico	Disney+
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North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
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Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV+
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 8
Singapore	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+


	Galatasaray		Alanyaspor

	1	X	2
	1.27	5	7	Watch
	1.26	6	9.5
	1.28	5.53	8.92	Watch
	1.33	6.16	9.91
	1.3	5.95	8.88	Watch
	1.29	5	8.5
	1.32	6.14	9.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.34)	5.68 ↑ (5.37)	8.82 ↑ (7.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galatasaray
72.8%

Draw
16.6%

Alanyaspor
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

17.6%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.8%

16.8%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galatasaray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Alanyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Galatasaray - Alanyaspor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.75 - Galatasaray (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Alanyaspor (3.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Alanyaspor (7.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Galatasaray will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Galatasaray will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Galatasaray (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Alanyaspor (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cakir U. (G) 93. Boey S. 90. Singo W. 6. Sanchez D. 17. Elmali E. 34. Torreira L. (C) 8. Gabriel Sara 53. Yilmaz B. A. 10. Sane L. 77. Lang N. 45. Osimhen V.	48. Paulo Victor (G) 3. Lima N. 5. Aliti F. (C) 50. Akdag U. 94. Hadergjonaj F. 42. Makouta G. 17. Janvier N. 11. Ruan 12. Elia M. 16. Hwang Ui-Jo 9. Mounie S.
Substitutes
22. Asprilla Y. 23. Ayhan K. 42. Bardakci A. 20. Gundogan I. 19. Guvenc G. (G) 9. Icardi M. 4. Jakobs I. 21. Kutucu A. 99. Lemina M. 74. Nhaga R.	20. Aksoy F. 30. Bruno Viana 6. Celik I. 14. Hagi I. 7. Karaca E. 27. Kaya I. 8. Keskin E. 18. Mogultay B. 1. Taskiran E. (G) 10. Yalcin G.
Coaches
Buruk O.	Pereira J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Lima N. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Boey S. ⚽, Torreira L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Mounie S. ⚽, Hadergjonaj F. (A),
55', Aliti F. 🟨,
58', 2 - 1, Torreira L. ⚽, Osimhen V. (A),
62', Elia M. ↓, Hagi I. ↑,
66', Yilmaz B. A. ↓, Lemina M. ↑,
72', Makouta G. 🟨,
73', Hwang Ui-Jo ↓, Kaya I. ↑,
74', Lang N. 🟨,
79', Lang N. ↓, Jakobs I. ↑,
79', Torreira L. ↓, Gundogan I. ↑,
82', Lima N. ↓, Aksoy F. ↑,
82', Makouta G. ↓, Keskin E. ↑,
82', Mounie S. ↓, Yalcin G. ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Osimhen V. ⚽,
86', Osimhen V. ↓, Icardi M. ↑,
87', Gabriel Sara ↓, Asprilla Y. ↑,
90+3', Singo W. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Galatasaray won 5.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Galatasaray may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Galatasaray is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Galatasaray: Baltaci M. (Suspended) Unyay A. (Injury)

There will not play in Alanyaspor: Bulut B. (Knee Injury) Ozdemir Y. (Suspended)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Galatasaray won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 41:22. (average 2.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Galatasaray won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 2.2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Galatasaray	7	5	1	1	16:11	5	16
7	Alanyaspor	7	3	3	1	8:6	2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Galatasaray
UEFA Champions League
25.02.26	Juventus - Galatasaray	3:2 ET ✺
Turkish Super League
21.02.26	Konyaspor - Galatasaray	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.02.26	Galatasaray - Juventus	5:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
13.02.26	Galatasaray - Eyüpspor	5:1 ✺
08.02.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Galatasaray	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWWW
- Alanyaspor
Turkish Super League
21.02.26	Alanyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Alanyaspor - Konyaspor	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Beşiktaş - Alanyaspor	2:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.02.26	Boluspor - Alanyaspor	0:4 ✺
Turkish Super League
31.01.26	Alanyaspor - Eyüpspor	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
26.09.25	Alanyaspor - Galatasaray	0:1
09.03.25	Alanyaspor - Galatasaray	1:2
06.10.24	Galatasaray - Alanyaspor	1:0
15.04.24	Alanyaspor - Galatasaray	0:4
25.11.23	Galatasaray - Alanyaspor	4:0
18.04.23	Alanyaspor - Galatasaray	1:4
Club Friendly
26.02.23	Alanyaspor - Galatasaray	2:4

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