Match Info

Super Lig - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Rams Park (Istanbul)

Referee: Kol Y. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Venezuela	Disney+


	Galatasaray		Beşiktaş

	1	X	2
	1.61	4.75	4.2	Watch
	1.62	4.33	4.5
	1.61	4.52	4.52
	1.79	4.18	4.34
	1.64	4.31	4.51	Watch
	1.65	4.44	4.66	Watch
	1.57	4.4	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.39)	4.42 ↓ (5.49)	4.45 ↓ (6.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galatasaray
57.5%

Draw
21.3%

Beşiktaş
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

17.4%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7%

16.7%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Galatasaray's form might have worsened.

Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beşiktaş's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Galatasaray, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beşiktaş, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	3.7%	18.5%

Galatasaray - Beşiktaş Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Galatasaray will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). Beşiktaş will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 62.1% – 93.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Galatasaray (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Beşiktaş (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1, 1st Half - Galatasaray (3.67) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Beşiktaş (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Galatasaray (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Beşiktaş (votes: 5 - 41.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cakir U. (G) 90. Singo W. 6. Sanchez D. 42. Bardakci A. (C) 4. Jakobs I. 34. Torreira L. 99. Lemina M. 11. Akgun Y. 20. Gundogan I. 53. Yilmaz B. A. 45. Osimhen V.	1. Gunok M. (C) 25. Sazdagi G. 35. Djalo T. 53. Topcu E. 39. Jurasek D. 4. Ndidi W. 10. Kokcu O. 18. Cerny V. 27. Rafa Silva 19. Toure E. B. 9. Abraham T.
Substitutes
3. Baltaci M. 17. Elmali E. 8. Gabriel Sara 19. Guvenc G. (G) 9. Icardi M. 18. Kutlu B. 21. Kutucu A. 7. Sallai R. 10. Sane L. 91. Unyay A.	30. Destanoglu E. (G) 3. Gabriel Paulista 91. Hekimoglu M. 26. Jota Silva 17. Kayra Yilmaz K. 7. Rashica M. 14. Uduokhai F. 11. Under C. 20. Uysal N. 33. Yilmaz R.
Coaches
Buruk O.	Yalcin S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Abraham T. ⚽,
26', Singo W. ↓, Sallai R. ↑,
34', Sanchez D. 🟥,
40', Topcu E. 🟨,
40', Osimhen V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 1, Gundogan I. ⚽, Torreira L. (A),
59', Sazdagi G. 🟨,
66', Topcu E. ↓, Uduokhai F. ↑,
67', Cerny V. ↓, Under C. ↑,
77', Gundogan I. ↓, Gabriel Sara ↑,
77', Akgun Y. ↓, Elmali E. ↑,
79', Uduokhai F. 🟨,
83', Abraham T. ↓, Rashica M. ↑,
86', Yilmaz B. A. ↓, Sane L. ↑,
86', Osimhen V. ↓, Icardi M. ↑,
86', Ndidi W. ↓, Yilmaz R. ↑,
90', Toure E. B. 🟨,
90', Kokcu O. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Galatasaray won 3.

Galatasaray is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Beşiktaş has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Galatasaray may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Galatasaray is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Beşiktaş: Tiknaz D. E. (Inactive) Ucan S. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Beşiktaş: Abraham T. (Injury) Ndidi W. (Injury) Svensson J. (Injury)

We predict that Galatasaray will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Galatasaray won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Galatasaray won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Galatasaray
UEFA Champions League
30.09.25	Galatasaray - Liverpool	1:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
26.09.25	Alanyaspor - Galatasaray	0:1 ✺
22.09.25	Galatasaray - Konyaspor	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.09.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Galatasaray	5:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
13.09.25	Eyüpspor - Galatasaray	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWLW
- Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League
29.09.25	Beşiktaş - Kocaelispor	3:1 ✺
24.09.25	Kayserispor - Beşiktaş	0:4 ✺
19.09.25	Göztepe - Beşiktaş	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Beşiktaş - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Alanyaspor - Beşiktaş	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
29.03.25	Beşiktaş - Galatasaray	2:1
28.10.24	Galatasaray - Beşiktaş	2:1
Turkish Super Cup
03.08.24	Galatasaray - Beşiktaş	0:5
Turkish Super League
03.03.24	Beşiktaş - Galatasaray	0:1
21.10.23	Galatasaray - Beşiktaş	2:1
30.04.23	Beşiktaş - Galatasaray	3:1
05.11.22	Galatasaray - Beşiktaş	2:1

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