Match Info

Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Rams Park (Istanbul)

Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Armenia	Fast Sports
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Australia	Stan Sport
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Canada	DAZN Canada
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China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
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Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ Sport
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
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Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
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Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
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Israel	5 SPORT Israel
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Slovenia	SportKlub 1
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South-america	ViX Latin America
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Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	Tabii, TRT 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, VTV Prime
World	VIX App


	Galatasaray		Liverpool

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.2	1.7
	4	3.9	1.8
	4.65	4.3	1.7
	4.65	4.35	1.72
	4.54	4.34	1.72	Watch
	4.4	4	1.7
	4.44	4.31	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↑ (4.24)	4.2 ↑ (4.17)	1.73 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galatasaray
21.6%

Draw
22.8%

Liverpool
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

23%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

22.7%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Liverpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.5%	15.6%	70.8%

Galatasaray - Liverpool Predictions

Users Predictions: 94 users predict this event. Galatasaray will win (votes: 13 - 13.8%). Liverpool will win (votes: 67 - 71.3%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 14.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 62.2% – 80.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Galatasaray (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Galatasaray (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liverpool will win (25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 32 Selected Experts predict this event. Galatasaray (votes: 6 - 18.8%). Liverpool (votes: 25 - 78.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cakir U. (G) 90. Singo W. 6. Sanchez D. 42. Bardakci A. (C) 4. Jakobs I. 34. Torreira L. 99. Lemina M. 53. Yilmaz B. A. 8. Gabriel Sara 77. Lang N. 45. Osimhen V.	25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 2. Gomez J. 5. Konate I. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 6. Kerkez M. 38. Gravenberch R. 10. Mac Allister A. 11. Salah M. 8. Szoboszlai D. 7. Wirtz F. 22. Ekitike H.
Substitutes
11. Akgun Y. 22. Asprilla Y. 23. Ayhan K. 93. Boey S. 17. Elmali E. 20. Gundogan I. 19. Guvenc G. (G) 9. Icardi M. 21. Kutucu A. 7. Sallai R. 10. Sane L. 12. Sen B. (G)	30. Frimpong J. 18. Gakpo C. 17. Jones C. 74. Misciur K. (G) 68. Morrison K. 65. Nallo A. 73. Ngumoha R. 42. Nyoni T. 26. Robertson A. 28. Woodman F. (G)
Coaches
Buruk O.	Slot A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Lemina M. ⚽, Osimhen V. (A),
33', Kerkez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', van Dijk V. 🟨,
60', Salah M. ↓, Frimpong J. ↑,
60', Kerkez M. ↓, Robertson A. ↑,
73', Wirtz F. ↓, Gakpo C. ↑,
77', Lang N. ↓, Akgun Y. ↑,
77', Lemina M. ↓, Sallai R. ↑,
87', Gabriel Sara ↓, Boey S. ↑,
88', Gravenberch R. 🟨,
90', Sanchez D. 🟨,
90+3', Torreira L. ↓, Gundogan I. ↑,
90+3', Yilmaz B. A. ↓, Elmali E. ↑,
90+5', Szoboszlai D. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

In recent matches, Galatasaray has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Liverpool is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Galatasaray may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Galatasaray has had a series of away games.

In this match, Liverpool is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Galatasaray: Baltaci M. (Suspended) Guner C. (Inactive) Gurpuz G. (Inactive) Nhaga R. (Inactive) Unyay A. (Injury)

There will not play in Liverpool: Alisson (Injury) Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Bradley C. (Knee Injury) Davies H. (Inactive) Endo W. (Injury) Isak A. (Broken Leg) Leoni G. (Knee Injury) Williams R. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Galatasaray: Sen B. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Galatasaray won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Galatasaray won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Liverpool: 4.94% Galatasaray: 0.56%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Galatasaray
Turkish Super League
07.03.26	Beşiktaş - Galatasaray	0:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.03.26	Alanyaspor - Galatasaray	1:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
28.02.26	Galatasaray - Alanyaspor	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.02.26	Juventus - Galatasaray	3:2 ET ✺
Turkish Super League
21.02.26	Konyaspor - Galatasaray	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLL
- Liverpool FC
English FA Cup
06.03.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Liverpool	1:3 ✺
English Premier League
03.03.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Liverpool	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Liverpool - West Ham United	5:2 ✺
22.02.26	Nottingham Forest - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.02.26	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
30.09.25	Galatasaray - Liverpool	1:0

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