Match Info

Super Lig - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rams Park (Istanbul) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	15:30	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	05:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	14:30	ESPN 7
Brazil	15:30	Disney+, ESPN
Canada	14:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	15:30	Disney+
Colombia	13:30	Disney+, ESPN 7
Croatia	19:30	SportKlub 1
Ecuador	13:30	ESPN 7
France	19:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports 3
Hong Kong	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Indonesia	01:30	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	20:30	Sport 2
Kazakhstan	00:30	Sport+
Kenya	21:30	Gotv
Kosovo	19:30	Arena Premium 2
Laos	01:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	12:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
New Zealand	07:30	beIN Connect
Nigeria	19:30	SupeSport ESPN 1
Paraguay	15:30	ESPN 7
Peru	13:30	Disney+, ESPN 7
Philippines	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Romania	20:30	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Serbia	19:30	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Slovenia	19:30	SportKlub 3
South Africa	20:30	SupeSport ESPN
Suriname	15:30	SCCN
Thailand	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Digiturk
Uruguay	15:30	Disney+
Usa	14:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Venezuela	14:30	Disney+, ESPN 7, Inter


	Galatasaray		Fenerbahçe

	1	X	2
	1.96	4	3.2	Watch
	1.95	3.7	3.4
	1.96	3.80	3.15	Watch
	2.01	3.94	3.59
	2.02	3.99	3.32
	1.95	3.85	3.50
	2.00	4.01	3.55	Watch
	1.95	3.75	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.2)	3.88 ↑ (3.55)	3.36 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galatasaray
47.7%

Draw
24.3%

Fenerbahçe
28%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.3%

26.2%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

26.4%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galatasaray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Galatasaray's performance.

Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	11.8%	5.9%

Galatasaray - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Galatasaray (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - Galatasaray (3.33) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Fenerbahçe (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Galatasaray will win (28 of 34 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.53% – 95.17%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Galatasaray (votes: 4 - 50%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cakir U. (G) 7. Sallai R. 6. Sanchez D. 42. Bardakci A. (C) 4. Jakobs I. 34. Torreira L. 99. Lemina M. 11. Akgun Y. 83. Batrakov A. 53. Yilmaz B. 45. Osimhen V.	31. Ederson (G) 27. Semedo N. 37. Skriniar M. (C) 3. Brown A. 22. Mercan L. 6. Guendouzi M. 91. Kante N. 11. Greenwood M. 17. Kahveci I. 70. Aydin O. 9. Lukaku R.
Substitutes
17. Elmali E. 8. Gabriel Sara 21. Gul D. 20. Gundogan I. 27. Leao R. 74. Nhaga R. 10. Sane L. 90. Singo W. 18. Ugochukwu L. 24. Yilmaz J. (G)	7. Akturkoglu K. 14. Demir Y. E. 28. Elmaz B. 34. Gunok M. (G) 18. Muldur M. 19. Muriqi V. 45. Nene D. 21. Peprah K. 8. Yandas M. 5. Yuksek I.
Coaches
Buruk O.	Kartal I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', Kahveci I. 🟨,
11', Skriniar M. 🟨,
19', Sanchez D. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Osimhen V. ⚽, Yilmaz B. (A),
31', Kante N. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Osimhen V. ⚽, Sanchez D. (A),
45+1', Buruk O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Semedo N. 🟨,
55', Greenwood M. ↓, Akturkoglu K. ↑,
56', Mercan L. ↓, Peprah K. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Kahveci I. ⚽, Aydin O. (A),
64', Yilmaz B. ↓, Leao R. ↑,
78', Aydin O. ↓, Nene D. ↑,
78', Kahveci I. ↓, Yandas M. ↑,
80', Akgun Y. ↓, Sane L. ↑,
80', Batrakov A. ↓, Gabriel Sara ↑,
80', Jakobs I. ↓, Elmali E. ↑,
83', Kante N. ↓, Muriqi V. ↑,
88', Osimhen V. ↓, Singo W. ↑,
89', Leao R. 🟨,
90+1', Brown A. 🟨,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - Europa League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Galatasaray won 2.

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Galatasaray is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Galatasaray has recorded 8 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:14 (averaging 1.2:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Galatasaray against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 9:7 goals (averaging 0.9:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Galatasaray	10	8	1	1	23:12	11	25
5	Fenerbahce	9	5	1	3	23:8	15	16

Outrights of Turkish Super League for now

Galatasaray: 43.52% Fenerbahce: 19.34%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Galatasaray
UEFA Champions League
21.10.26	Lille - Galatasaray	2:4 ✺
Turkish Super League
17.10.26	Gençlerbirliği - Galatasaray	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.10.26	Galatasaray - Barcelona	1:4 ✺
Turkish Super League
09.10.26	Galatasaray - Kasımpaşa	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Pendikspor - Galatasaray	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWT
- Fenerbahçe
UEFA Champions League
20.10.26	Fenerbahçe - Slavia Prague	2:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
17.10.26	Fenerbahçe - Alanyaspor	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.10.26	Aston Villa - Fenerbahçe	6:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
10.10.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Fenerbahçe	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Turan Tovuz - Fenerbahçe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
26.04.26	Galatasaray - Fenerbahçe	3:0
Turkish Super Cup
10.01.26	Galatasaray - Fenerbahçe	0:2
Turkish Super League
01.12.25	Fenerbahçe - Galatasaray	1:1
Turkish Cup
02.04.25	Fenerbahçe - Galatasaray	1:2
Turkish Super League
24.02.25	Galatasaray - Fenerbahçe	0:0
21.09.24	Fenerbahçe - Galatasaray	1:3
19.05.24	Galatasaray - Fenerbahçe	0:1

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