Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 15 February 2024, Thursday

Location: Rams Park (Istanbul)

Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	BTV Action
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Italy	Sky Sport
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports
World	SportsMax


	Galatasaray		Sparta Prague

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	6
	1.58	4.1	5.25
	1.6	4.35	5.5
	1.58	4.34	5.6
	1.58	4.19	5.98
	1.55	4	5.5
	1.63	4.37	5.75
	1.59	4.3	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.73)	4.21 ↑ (3.81)	5.7 ↑ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galatasaray
60.4%

Draw
22.8%

Sparta Prague
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

25%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

25.3%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galatasaray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Galatasaray's performance.

Sparta Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Galatasaray that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.9%	7%	8.1%

Galatasaray - Sparta Prague Predictions

Users Predictions: Galatasaray will win (73 of 86 users predict this - 84.88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.31% – 92.45%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Muslera F. (C) 23. Ayhan K. 6. Sanchez D. 25. Nelsson V. 18. Kutlu B. 8. Demirbay K. 34. Torreira L. 53. Yilmaz B. A. 10. Mertens D. 7. Akturkoglu K. 9. Icardi M.	1. Vindahl P. (G) 41. Vitik M. 25. Sorensen A. 37. Krejci L. (C) 2. Preciado A. 6. Kairinen K. 20. Laci Q. 32. Rynes M. 10. Karabec A. 9. Kuchta J. 14. Birmancevic V.
Substitutes
83. Akman E. 81. Akman H. 42. Bardakci A. 72. Bulbul A. T. 95. Carlos Vinicius 56. Demiroglu B. 19. Guvenc G. (G) 91. Ndombele T. 27. Oliveira S. 20. Tete 58. Yesilyurt A. 14. Zaha W.	22. Haraslin L. 19. Mejdr J. 7. Olatunji V. 27. Panak F. 21. Pesek J. 18. Sadilek L. 49. Sevinsky A. 4. Solbakken M. 11. Tuci I. 24. Vorel V. (G) 26. Vydra P. 28. Wiesner T.
Coaches
Buruk O.	Priske B.

Preview

1st leg.

Two teams got a triumph in the latest matches.

Sparta Prague could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Galatasaray have a series of home games.

Recently Sparta Prague have a series of guest games.

In this match Galatasaray is a favorite.

There will not play in Galatasaray: Ziyech H. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Sparta Prague: Pavelka D. (Injury) Vindheim A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sparta Prague: Haraslin L. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Galatasaray to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Galatasaray
Turkish Super League
10.02.24	Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
06.02.24	Galatasaray - Bandırmaspor	4:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
02.02.24	Samsunspor - Galatasaray	0:2 ✺
29.01.24	Galatasaray - Gaziantep	2:1 ✺
25.01.24	Galatasaray - İstanbulspor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWW
- AC Sparta Prague
Czech 1 Liga
10.02.24	Karviná - Sparta Prague	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
01.02.24	Malmö - Sparta Prague	1:2 ✺
29.01.24	Bodø Glimt - Sparta Prague	0:2 ✺
25.01.24	Puskás Academy - Sparta Prague	0:2 ✺
20.01.24	Sparta Prague - Copenhagen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWW

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