Match Info

Super Lig - Round 32

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu (Samsun)

Referee: Coskunses R. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+


	Samsunspor		Galatasaray

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.33	1.57	Watch
	4.5	4.1	1.65
	4.69	4.24	1.6	Watch
	4.98	4.49	1.63
	4.7	4.46	1.61	Watch
	4.6	4	1.62
	4.99	4.42	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.71 ↑ (4.62)	4.29 ↑ (4.13)	1.62 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samsunspor
20%

Draw
21.9%

Galatasaray
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

22.9%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

22.2%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Galatasaray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Samsunspor - Galatasaray Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Galatasaray (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Galatasaray will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Galatasaray (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kocuk O. (G) 2. Mendes J. 37. Satka L. (C) 4. Van Drongelen R. 17. Tomasson L. 21. Holse C. 20. Kayan Y. 19. Ndiaye C. 29. Makoumbou A. 70. Coulibaly T. 9. Marius	19. Guvenc G. (G) 7. Sallai R. 6. Sanchez D. 42. Bardakci A. (C) 4. Jakobs I. 34. Torreira L. 99. Lemina M. 10. Sane L. 11. Akgun Y. 53. Yilmaz B. A. 45. Osimhen V.
Substitutes
23. Albak E. 24. Borevkovic T. 55. Cift Y. E. 15. Diabbate A. B. 71. Egribayat I. (G) 28. Gonul S. 7. Tavsan E. 48. Toruz E. B. (G) 18. Yavru Z.	23. Ayhan K. 93. Boey S. 17. Elmali E. 20. Gundogan I. 9. Icardi M. 21. Kutucu A. 77. Lang N. 74. Nhaga R. 12. Sen B. (G) 90. Singo W.
Coaches
Fink T.	Buruk O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Akgun Y. ⚽, Osimhen V. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Marius ⚽, Kayan Y. (A),
29', Coulibaly T. 🟨,
34', Gonul S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Torreira L. ↓, Gundogan I. ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Ndiaye C. ⚽, Marius (A),
63', Guvenc G. 🟥,
66', Sane L. ↓, Sen B. ↑,
71', 3 - 1, Marius ⚽, Kayan Y. (A),
72', Coulibaly T. ↓, Tavsan E. ↑,
74', Yilmaz B. A. ↓, Lang N. ↑,
74', Bardakci A. ↓, Singo W. ↑,
75', Kayan Y. 🟨,
82', 4 - 1, Ndiaye C. ⚽,
84', Sallai R. ↓, Boey S. ↑,
87', Mendes J. ↓, Yavru Z. ↑,
87', Kayan Y. ↓, Cift Y. E. ↑,
90+1', Marius ↓, Gonul S. ↑,
90+1', Van Drongelen R. ↓, Diabbate A. B. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In recent matches, Samsunspor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Galatasaray is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Galatasaray is the team to beat.

There will not play in Samsunspor: Assoumou J. (Knee Injury) Cetin B. (Knee Injury) Kilinc E. (Inactive)

There will not play in Galatasaray: Asprilla Y. (Inactive) Baltaci M. (Suspended) Cakir U. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Samsunspor: Yuksel C. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 1.2:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Samsunspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Galatasaray	7	5	1	1	16:11	5	16
16	Samsunspor	7	1	1	5	6:15	-9	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samsunspor
Turkish Super League
27.04.26	Alanyaspor - Samsunspor	2:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
23.04.26	Samsunspor - Trabzonspor	0:1 penalties ✺
Turkish Super League
19.04.26	Samsunspor - Beşiktaş	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Eyüpspor - Samsunspor	1:2 ✺
09.04.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Samsunspor	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WLWWL
- Galatasaray
Turkish Super League
26.04.26	Galatasaray - Fenerbahçe	3:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
22.04.26	Galatasaray - Gençlerbirliği	0:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
18.04.26	Gençlerbirliği - Galatasaray	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Galatasaray - Kocaelispor	1:1 ✺
08.04.26	Göztepe - Galatasaray	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
05.12.25	Galatasaray - Samsunspor	3:2
11.04.25	Samsunspor - Galatasaray	0:2
10.11.24	Galatasaray - Samsunspor	3:2
02.02.24	Samsunspor - Galatasaray	0:2
16.09.23	Galatasaray - Samsunspor	4:2

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