Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 14

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Town Stadium Karvina (Karvina)

Referee: Wulkan J. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 3
Slovakia	Voyo


	Karviná		Sparta Prague

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.9	1.5	Watch
	5.3	4.15	1.55	Watch
	5.24	4.13	1.53	Watch
	5.32	4.1	1.56	Watch
	4.9	4	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.25 ↑ (5.08)	4.06 ↓ (4.28)	1.55 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karviná
17.6%

Draw
22.8%

Sparta Prague
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

21.5%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

21.1%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karviná has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Sparta Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	23.1%	53.8%

Karviná - Sparta Prague Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Karviná will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Sparta Prague will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Prague: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Sparta Prague (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Karviná (4.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Karviná (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Karviná (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Sparta Prague (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Lapes J. (G) 4. Traore A. 49. Camara S. 37. Krcik D. 25. Fleisman J. (C) 9. Labik A. 21. Buzek A. 17. Sigut S. 10. Samko D. 14. Ayaosi E. 12. Gning A.	1. Vindahl P. (G) 4. Martinec J. 27. Panak F. (C) 16. Uchenna E. 17. Preciado A. 20. Mannsverk S. 6. Kairinen K. 11. Rynes M. 14. Birmancevic V. 10. Kuchta J. 7. Mercado J.
Substitutes
6. Bohac S. 24. Chytry J. 31. Conde O. 26. Ezeh L. 29. Fiala J. 8. Kristan J. 34. Mrozek O. (G) 1. Neuman V. (G) 77. Storman R.	5. Eneme S. 22. Haraslin L. 3. Kaderabek P. 36. Kuol G. 28. Milla K. 9. Rrahmani A. 19. Sevinsky A. 2. Suchomel M. 44. Surovcik J. (G) 26. Vydra P. 30. Zeleny J.
Coaches
Jarolim M.	Priske B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Uchenna E. 🟨,
23', Fleisman J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Uchenna E. ↓, Zeleny J. ↑,
48', Mannsverk S. 🟨,
62', Mannsverk S. ↓, Vydra P. ↑,
62', Kuchta J. ↓, Rrahmani A. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Traore A. ⚽, Krcik D. (A),
72', 1 - 1, Mercado J. ⚽, Birmancevic V. (A),
73', Samko D. ↓, Storman R. ↑,
76', Rynes M. ↓, Haraslin L. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Gning A. ⚽, Labik A. (A),
80', Sigut S. ↓, Conde O. ↑,
84', Ayaosi E. 🟨,
84', Panak F. ↓, Eneme S. ↑,
89', Labik A. ↓, Bohac S. ↑,
89', Gning A. ↓, Ezeh L. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 0.

Karviná is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sparta Prague's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Karviná may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sparta Prague is the team to beat.

There will not play in Karviná: Vallo K. (Injury)

There will not play in Sparta Prague: Andersen M. (Injury) Cobbaut E. (Injury) Haraslin L. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Karviná: Singhateh E. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Sparta Prague: Sadilek L. (Health problems)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:42. (average 1.1:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Karviná won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:22. (average 1.1:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MFK Karviná
Czech Cup
28.10.25	Karviná - Slovácko	1:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
25.10.25	Mladá Boleslav - Karviná	2:4 ✺
18.10.25	Karviná - Sigma Olomouc	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Pardubice - Karviná	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Slovácko - Karviná	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWTLW
- AC Sparta Prague
Czech 1 Liga
28.10.25	Sparta Prague - Bohemians 1905	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.10.25	Rijeka - Sparta Prague	1:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
19.10.25	Slovácko - Sparta Prague	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Sparta Prague - Slavia Prague	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Sparta Prague - Shamrock Rovers	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
15.02.25	Karviná - Sparta Prague	2:3
03.12.24	Sparta Prague - Karviná	4:1
10.02.24	Karviná - Sparta Prague	0:3
27.08.23	Sparta Prague - Karviná	3:1
04.12.21	Karviná - Sparta Prague	1:2
07.08.21	Sparta Prague - Karviná	2:0
14.02.21	Sparta Prague - Karviná	4:3

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