The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gama 51.7%
Draw 28.5%
Ceilândia 19.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.2%
28.9%
23.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
28%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
Ceilândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gama than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Gama - Ceilândia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Gama is Qualified for Brasiliense (Play Offs Semi~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gama won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Gama is a strong favorite.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gama won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Gama won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.6:0.9).