Match Info
Brasiliense - Round 8Date: 21 February 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estádio Maria de Lourdes Abadia (Ceilândia)
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 |
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Ceilândia |
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Paranoá |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.48 |
3.75 |
5.9 |
|
 |
1.49 |
3.92 |
6.02 |
 Watch |
 |
1.44 |
3.9 |
6 |
|
 |
1.44 |
3.8 |
6.95 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.71) |
3.84 ↑
(3.39) |
6.22 ↑
(4.51) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ceilândia
61.9% | Draw
23.6% | Paranoá
14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceilândia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceilândia's performance.Paranoá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paranoá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceilândia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paranoá than the current prediction. (+4.8%)Ceilândia - Paranoá Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 15', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 40', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 77', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+1', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceilândia won 4.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky. In this match, Ceilândia is the obvious favorite.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ceilândia won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:3. (average 3:0.4).Including home matches between the teams, Ceilândia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:2. (average 3.2:0.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense | | | 08.02.25 | Paranoá - Ceilândia | 1:2 | | 17.02.24 | Ceilândia - Paranoá | 1:1 | | 08.02.23 | Ceilândia - Paranoá | 3:0 | | 19.02.22 | Ceilândia - Paranoá | 5:0 | | 15.02.20 | Ceilândia - Paranoá | 3:0 | | 21.02.18 | Ceilândia - Paranoá | 4:1 | | 01.04.17 | Ceilândia - Paranoá | 3:0 |
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