Match Info

Date: 27 September 2020, Sunday


	Gamba Osaka U23		Roasso Kumamoto

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	1.95
	3.6	3.55	1.85	Watch
	3.55	3.55	1.82
	3.76	3.72	1.87
	3.6	3.6	1.88
	3.64	3.68	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (3.15)	3.58 ↑ (3.41)	1.87 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gamba Osaka U23
25.6%

Draw
25.5%

Roasso Kumamoto
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

26.5%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

19.9%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gamba Osaka U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Roasso Kumamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka U23 than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roasso Kumamoto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gamba Osaka U23 - Roasso Kumamoto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion to J2 League).

Gamba Osaka U23 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kumamoto is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kumamoto will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gamba Osaka U23 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gamba Osaka U23
Japan J3 League
22.09.20	Grulla Morioka - Gamba Osaka U23	1:0 ✺
19.09.20	Gamba Osaka U23 - Vanraure Hachinohe	2:3 ✺
12.09.20	Kataller Toyama - Gamba Osaka U23	1:0 ✺
05.09.20	Gamba Osaka U23 - Fujieda MYFC	1:3 ✺
02.09.20	Fukushima United - Gamba Osaka U23	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLLW
- Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J3 League
22.09.20	Roasso Kumamoto - YSCC	2:0 ✺
19.09.20	Fujieda MYFC - Roasso Kumamoto	1:2 ✺
12.09.20	Roasso Kumamoto - Sagamihara	2:0 ✺
09.09.20	Roasso Kumamoto - Nagano Parceiro	1:2 ✺
02.09.20	Kataller Toyama - Roasso Kumamoto	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
15.07.20	Roasso Kumamoto - Gamba Osaka U23	1:0

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