Match Info

J2 League - Round 28

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Toyama Stadium (Toyama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kataller Toyama		Roasso Kumamoto

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.45	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.3
	2.82	3.1	2.4
	2.94	3.25	2.57
	2.76	3.13	2.58	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.4
	2.77	3.22	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (2.98)	3.16 ↓ (3.29)	2.46 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kataller Toyama
33.2%

Draw
29.2%

Roasso Kumamoto
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

28.2%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

27.4%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kataller Toyama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Roasso Kumamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Kataller Toyama - Roasso Kumamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Kataller Toyama will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Kataller Toyama (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kataller Toyama (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tagawa T. (G) 88. Hama T. 19. Saneto Y. 4. Kamiyama K. 3. Kagawa Y. 33. Takahashi Y. 16. Sueki H. 48. Ueda K. 11. Ogawa K. 10. Matsuda R. 27. Yoshihira T.	1. Sato S. (G) 3. Onishi R. 4. Hakamata Y. 24. Ri T. 9. Omoto Y. 8. Kamimura S. 21. Toyoda A. 17. Fujii K. 14. Shiohama R. 28. Kumashiro K. 16. Matsuoka R.
Substitutes
39. Furukawa M. 42. Hirao T. (G) 5. Imase J. 18. Ito T. 8. Matsuoka D. 22. Shiina N. 34. Takenaka G. 14. Ura J. 2. Yoshida A.	5. Abe K. 18. Handai M. 13. Iihoshi A. 2. Kuroki K. 15. Mishima S. 20. Osaki S. 23. Sato Y. (G) 7. Takemoto Y.
Coaches
Adachi R.	Oki T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Matsuoka R. ⚽,
44', Saneto Y. ↓, Imase J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Matsuda R. ↓, Furukawa M. ↑,
60', Sueki H. ↓, Shiina N. ↑,
60', Kagawa Y. ↓, Yoshida A. ↑,
70', Omoto Y. ↓, Abe K. ↑,
70', Matsuoka R. ↓, Handai M. ↑,
75', Kumashiro K. ↓, Osaki S. ↑,
75', Mishima S. ↓, Iihoshi A. ↑,
78', Ueda K. ↓, Ito T. ↑,
90+1', Fujii K. ↓, Takemoto Y. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kataller Toyama won 0.

Kataller Toyama has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kumamoto has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kataller Toyama won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Kataller Toyama won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Kataller Toyama - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 31.25%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kataller Toyama
Japan J2 League
23.08.25	Júbilo Iwata - Kataller Toyama	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Kataller Toyama - Imabari	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Oita Trinita - Kataller Toyama	2:2 ✺
02.08.25	Kataller Toyama - Omiya Ardija	0:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
16.07.25	Machida Zelvia - Kataller Toyama	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTLL
- Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J2 League
23.08.25	Omiya Ardija - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Fujieda MYFC	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Imabari - Roasso Kumamoto	3:2 ✺
03.08.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Mito HollyHock	2:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
16.07.25	Nagoya Grampus - Roasso Kumamoto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
06.04.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Kataller Toyama	0:0
Japan J3 League
14.11.21	Roasso Kumamoto - Kataller Toyama	2:2
13.06.21	Kataller Toyama - Roasso Kumamoto	1:1
09.12.20	Roasso Kumamoto - Kataller Toyama	1:0
02.09.20	Kataller Toyama - Roasso Kumamoto	2:3
Japan J2 League
24.08.14	Kataller Toyama - Roasso Kumamoto	0:2
31.05.14	Roasso Kumamoto - Kataller Toyama	2:0

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