The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gambia Ports Authority 24.7%
Draw 35.6%
Fortune 39.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
31.7%
32.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.7%
32%
32.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gambia Ports Authority has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gambia Ports Authority's form might have worsened.
Fortune has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fortune's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gambia Ports Authority than the current prediction. (+11%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gambia Ports Authority, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortune than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortune, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gambia Ports Authority - Fortune Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Fortune (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.25 - Fortune (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortune (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gambia Ports won 2.
Gambia Ports is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Fortune has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Gambia Ports may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gambia Ports won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Gambia Ports won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
Standings
2025/26
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Fortune
30
14
11
5
33:21
12
53
3
Gambia Ports
30
12
11
7
26:18
8
47
Last Results with these Odds
Fortune - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 32.33%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.