Match Info

K3 League - Round 17

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday

Location: Ulsan Complex Stadium (Ulsan)


	Ulsan Citizen		Yeoju

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.40	2.85	2.80
	2.38	3.05	2.75	Watch
	2.57	2.94	3.02
	2.45	3.06	2.84	Watch
	2.50	2.90	2.95
	2.49	3.14	2.88
	2.45	2.95	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.38)	2.98 ↓ (3.05)	2.87 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulsan Citizen
37.3%

Draw
30.8%

Yeoju
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

29.5%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

30.7%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulsan Citizen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Yeoju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan Citizen than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeoju than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Ulsan Citizen - Yeoju Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ulsan Citizen will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 7).

Recent performances by Ulsan Citizen have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Yeoju is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Ulsan Citizen has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulsan Citizen won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ulsan Citizen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ulsan Citizen	23	8	4	11	24:26	-2	28
10	Yeoju Citizen	23	7	7	9	26:29	-3	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulsan Citizen FC
South Korean Cup
04.07.26	Ulsan Citizen - Chuncheon	2:1 ✺
South Korean K3 League
27.06.26	Ulsan Citizen - Mokpo City	4:1 ✺
20.06.26	Dangjin Citizen - Ulsan Citizen	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Ulsan Citizen - Gangneung	1:2 ✺
30.05.26	Ulsan Citizen - Pocheon	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTLL
- Yeoju FC
South Korean Cup
05.07.26	Pyeongtaek Citizen - Yeoju	1:3 ✺
South Korean K3 League
27.06.26	Changwon City - Yeoju	2:2 ✺
20.06.26	Yangpyeong - Yeoju	1:2 ✺
07.06.26	Yeoju - Siheung	0:1 ✺
31.05.26	Yeoju - Daejeon Korail	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
29.03.26	Yeoju - Ulsan Citizen	2:1
31.08.25	Yeoju - Ulsan Citizen	1:2
03.05.25	Ulsan Citizen - Yeoju	0:1
07.07.24	Yeoju - Ulsan Citizen	1:2
16.03.24	Ulsan Citizen - Yeoju	2:0

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