Match Info

K3 League - Round 17

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday


	Mokpo City		Gangneung

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	3.20	2.30
	2.92	2.98	2.32	Watch
	2.89	3.15	2.48
	2.82	3.09	2.45	Watch
	2.8	3	2.4
	2.85	3.13	2.32	Watch
	2.9	2.95	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3.15)	3.07 ↑ (3.05)	2.37 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mokpo City
32.1%

Draw
29.6%

Gangneung
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

29.6%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

28.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mokpo City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Gangneung has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mokpo City than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gangneung than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gangneung could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Mokpo City - Gangneung Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Mokpo City will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mokpo City won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Mokpo City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Mokpo City has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mokpo City won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:36. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mokpo City won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Gangneung	23	7	6	10	21:32	-11	27
12	Mokpo	23	5	9	9	22:36	-14	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mokpo City FC
South Korean K3 League
27.06.26	Ulsan Citizen - Mokpo City	4:1 ✺
20.06.26	Changwon City - Mokpo City	1:2 ✺
07.06.26	Mokpo City - Yangpyeong	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Siheung - Mokpo City	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Daejeon Korail - Mokpo City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWTTL
- Gangneung FC
South Korean Cup
04.07.26	Gangneung - Jecheon Citizen	2:0 ✺
South Korean K3 League
28.06.26	Dangjin Citizen - Gangneung	5:2 ✺
21.06.26	Pocheon - Gangneung	3:1 ✺
06.06.26	Ulsan Citizen - Gangneung	1:2 ✺
30.05.26	Gangneung - Changwon City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
28.03.26	Gangneung - Mokpo City	0:0
26.10.25	Mokpo City - Gangneung	2:1
14.06.25	Gangneung - Mokpo City	3:1
24.08.24	Gangneung - Mokpo City	0:5
27.04.24	Mokpo City - Gangneung	1:1
22.09.23	Gangneung - Mokpo City	1:0
27.05.23	Mokpo City - Gangneung	2:2

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