Match Info

Korean Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Chuncheon Songam Stadium (Chuncheon)


	Gangwon		Siheung

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.9	Watch
	1.38	4.2	6.75
	1.91	3.3	3.9
	2.06	3.22	4.04
	1.88	3.46	4.12	Watch
	1.4	4	7.5	Watch
	1.95	3.47	4.08	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.31)	3.53 ↓ (4.65)	4.77 ↓ (9.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gangwon
52.9%

Draw
27.1%

Siheung
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

19.9%

9.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

15.9%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gangwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gangwon's form might have worsened.

Siheung has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Siheung's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gangwon than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siheung than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Siheung, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gangwon - Siheung Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +1 - Gangwon (1.10) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gangwon (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Park Cheong-Hyo (G)
51. Choi Han-Sol
17. Cho Jin-Hyuk
36. Hwang Eun-Chong
15. Jin Jun-Seo
27. Kim Do-Hyun
26. Kim Min-Jun
35. Kim Tae-Hwan
77. Ki-Wan S.
24. Park H.
10. Vitor Gabriel
Substitutes
25. Choi Jeong-Hoon
71. Cho Min-Kyu (G)
11. Cuze M.
37. Jeong Seung-Bin
30. Jung In-jeung
95. Kim Hyung-Jin
38. Park Soo-Hwan
28. Won Hee-Do
32. Yoo Byung-Heon

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Yoo Ji-Min (Pen),
36', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
73', 🟨,
76', 1 - 1, Cho Jin-Hyuk ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, Cho Jin-Hyuk ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Gangwon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Siheung Citizen is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gangwon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gangwon is the obvious favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gangwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
11.05.25	Gangwon - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:4 ✺
06.05.25	Jeju - Gangwon	0:3 ✺
03.05.25	Gangwon - Suwon	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Daejeon Citizen - Gangwon	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Ulsan HD - Gangwon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWTLW
- FC Siheung
South Korean K3 League
10.05.25	Siheung - Pocheon	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Gyeongju KH&NP - Siheung	2:3 ✺
27.04.25	Siheung - Mokpo City	3:1 ✺
19.04.25	Busan Kyotong - Siheung	0:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
16.04.25	Siheung - Hwaseong	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 TWWWW

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