Match Info

K League 1 - Round 24

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Daejeon World Cup Stadium (Daejeon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Russia	TV Start Triumph
South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Daejeon Citizen		Gangwon

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.10	3.10	Watch
	2.30	3.10	3.10
	2.30	3.05	2.75
	2.41	3.17	3.39
	2.56	3.16	2.8	Watch
	2.30	3.10	3.35
	2.38	3.24	3.09	Watch
	2.26	3.15	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.58)	3.13 ↑ (3.09)	3.09 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daejeon Citizen
39.9%

Draw
29.8%

Gangwon
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

30%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

29.6%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daejeon Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Gangwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daejeon Citizen than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gangwon than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	75%	12.5%

Daejeon Citizen - Gangwon Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Daejeon Citizen will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Gangwon will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Gangwon (1.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gangwon (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lee Chang-Geun (G) 33. Kim Moon-Hwan 4. Cho Sung-Gwon 98. Krivotsyuk A. 16. Lee Myung-Jae 30. Kim Bong-Soo 44. Lee Soon-Min 11. Um Won-Sang 14. Kim Jun-Beom 17. Ludwigson G. 10. Joo Min-Kyu (C)	1. Park Cheong-Hyo (G) 99. Kang Joon-Hyuck 23. Tuci M. 47. Shin Min-Ha 33. Hong Chul 11. Goh Young-Jun 4. Seo Min-Woo 97. Lee You-Hyeon (C) 70. Sekidika J. 96. Choe Byeong-Chan 7. Kim Dae-Won
Substitutes
9. Diogo Oliveira 45. Ha Chang-Rae 7. Ishida M. 27. Jeong Jae-Hee 6. Kang Yun-Sung 31. Kim Min-Soo (G) 41. Park Byung-chan 19. Seo Jin-Su 8. Victor Bobsin	51. Cho Min-Kyu (G) 26. Cho W. 14. Kang Y. 27. Kim Do-Hyun 6. Kim Dong-Hyun 9. Kim Gun-Hee 13. Lee Gi-Hyuk 24. Park H. 19. Park Sang-Hyeok
Coaches
Hwang Sun-Hong	Chung Kyung-Ho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Choe Byeong-Chan ↓, Kim Gun-Hee ↑,
37', Um Won-Sang ↓, Jeong Jae-Hee ↑,
42', Seo Min-Woo 🟥,
44', Lee Soon-Min 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Goh Young-Jun ↓, Lee Gi-Hyuk ↑,
46', Kang Joon-Hyuck ↓, Kim Do-Hyun ↑,
46', Kim Jun-Beom ↓, Ishida M. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Ludwigson G. ⚽, Ishida M. (A),
56', 2 - 0, Joo Min-Kyu ⚽, Ludwigson G. (A),
57', Hong Chul ↓, Kim Dong-Hyun ↑,
66', 3 - 0, Jeong Jae-Hee ⚽, Lee Myung-Jae (A),
74', Lee Soon-Min ↓, Victor Bobsin ↑,
74', Krivotsyuk A. ↓, Ha Chang-Rae ↑,
77', Lee You-Hyeon ↓, Kang Y. ↑,
84', Ludwigson G. ↓, Seo Jin-Su ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daejeon Citizen won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Gangwon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Daejeon Citizen has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Daejeon Citizen won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Daejeon Citizen won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Gangwon	31	11	13	7	38:28	10	46
6	Daejeon	31	11	10	10	48:38	10	43

Last Results with these Odds

Gangwon - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 34.09%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daejeon Citizen
South Korean Cup
19.08.26	Chungnam Asan - Daejeon Citizen	2:3 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
15.08.26	FC Seoul - Daejeon Citizen	4:2 ✺
08.08.26	Anyang - Daejeon Citizen	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	Daejeon Citizen - Gwangju	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Daejeon Citizen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWL
- Gangwon FC
South Korean Cup
19.08.26	Gangwon - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:0 penalties ✺
South Korean K-League 1
16.08.26	Ulsan HD - Gangwon	2:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
11.08.26	Gangwon - Gamba Osaka	0:1 AET ✺
South Korean K-League 1
01.08.26	Gangwon - Bucheon	0:3 ✺
26.07.26	Anyang - Gangwon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
12.05.26	Gangwon - Daejeon Citizen	2:0
12.04.26	Daejeon Citizen - Gangwon	0:2
22.11.25	Daejeon Citizen - Gangwon	1:1
27.09.25	Gangwon - Daejeon Citizen	0:0
19.07.25	Gangwon - Daejeon Citizen	2:2
27.04.25	Daejeon Citizen - Gangwon	1:0
13.07.24	Daejeon Citizen - Gangwon	1:1

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