Match Info

K League 1 - Round 11

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Chuncheon Songam Stadium (Chuncheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV, Onefootball


	Gangwon		Suwon

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.27	3.1	3.15
	2.38	3.15	3.4
	2.33	3.07	3.22	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.35	3.13	3.26	Watch
	2.27	3.1	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (1.94)	3.14 ↓ (3.4)	3.21 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gangwon
40.8%

Draw
29.9%

Suwon
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

26.4%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

26.5%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gangwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gangwon's form might have worsened.

Suwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gangwon than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gangwon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Gangwon - Suwon Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gangwon will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gangwon (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Suwon (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gangwon (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Suwon (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lee Gwang-Yeon (G) 70. Goo Bon-Cheul 47. Shin Min-Ha 13. Lee Gi-Hyuk (C) 33. Hong Chul 17. Cho Jin-Hyuk 18. Kim Kang-Guk 14. Kim Dae-Woo 34. Song Jun-Seok 9. Kovacevic F. 22. Lee Sang-Heon	23. Ahn Jun-Su (G) 4. Kim Tae-Han 6. Choi Kyu-Baek (C) 5. Lee Hyeon-yong 33. Lee Taek-Geun 28. Kim Jae-Sung 7. Lee Jae-Won 99. Abanda L. 97. Luan Dias 70. Anderson Oliveira 9. Sabbag P.
Substitutes
96. Choe Byeong-Chan 5. Choi Han-Sol 25. Choi Jeong-Hoon 27. Kim Do-Hyun 6. Kim Dong-Hyun 26. Kim Min-Jun 39. Lee Ji-Ho 21. Park Cheong-Hyo (G) 24. Park H.	1. Hwang Jae-yun (G) 22. Jang Young-Woo 10. Ji Dong-Won 19. Jung Seung-Bae 24. Kim J. 20. Lee Ji-Sol 77. Ofkir M. 8. Roh Kyung-Ho 21. Seo Jae-Min
Coaches
Chung Kyung-Ho	Kim Eun-joong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Sabbag P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Abanda L. ↓, Seo Jae-Min ↑,
56', Cho Jin-Hyuk ↓, Lee Ji-Ho ↑,
60', Lee Taek-Geun ↓, Ji Dong-Won ↑,
67', Ji Dong-Won ↓, Ofkir M. ↑,
68', Goo Bon-Cheul ↓, Choe Byeong-Chan ↑,
68', Lee Sang-Heon ↓, Kim Min-Jun ↑,
77', Kim Jae-Sung ↓, Jang Young-Woo ↑,
86', Kim Tae-Han 🟨,
90', Kim Kang-Guk ↓, Kim Dong-Hyun ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gangwon won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Gangwon has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Gangwon won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:31. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Gangwon won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gangwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
27.04.25	Daejeon Citizen - Gangwon	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Ulsan HD - Gangwon	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Gangwon - Gwangju	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Anyang - Gangwon	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Gangwon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWLL
- Suwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
26.04.25	Suwon - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Anyang - Suwon	3:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
16.04.25	Busan Kyotong - Suwon	1:2 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
12.04.25	Suwon - Gimcheon Sangmu	3:2 ✺
05.04.25	Suwon - Pohang Steelers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
09.11.24	Suwon - Gangwon	4:0
01.09.24	Gangwon - Suwon	2:2
15.06.24	Gangwon - Suwon	3:1
05.05.24	Suwon - Gangwon	1:2
25.11.23	Gangwon - Suwon	2:0
19.08.23	Gangwon - Suwon	1:2
25.06.23	Suwon - Gangwon	1:1

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