Match Info

K League 1 - Round 23

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium (Ulsan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Laola1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Laola1
Russia	TV Start
South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Ulsan HD		Gangwon

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	2.9	Watch
	2.40	3.25	2.80
	2.35	3.15	2.75
	2.5	3.41	3.06
	2.37	3.31	2.95	Watch
	2.3	3.35	3.05
	2.4	3.2	2.96	Watch
	2.35	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.69)	3.27 ↑ (3.2)	2.92 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulsan HD
39.5%

Draw
28.6%

Gangwon
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

29%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

27.9%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulsan HD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Gangwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gangwon than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Ulsan HD - Gangwon Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Jo Hyeon-Woo (G) 4. Seo Myung-Guan 15. Jung Seung-Hyun 19. Kim Young-Gwon (C) 33. Jang Si-Young 24. Lee Gyu-Seong 55. Oude Kotte T. 26. Cho Hyun-Taek 14. Lee Jin-Hyun 10. Lee Dong-Gyeong 17. Kang Sang-Woo	1. Park Cheong-Hyo (G) 99. Kang Joon-Hyuck 23. Tuci M. 13. Lee Gi-Hyuk 33. Hong Chul 11. Goh Young-Jun 97. Lee You-Hyeon (C) 4. Seo Min-Woo 70. Sekidika J. 96. Choe Byeong-Chan 7. Kim Dae-Won
Substitutes
72. Baek In-Woo 6. Bojanic D. 11. Erick Farias 8. Lee H. 28. Lee Jae-Ik 13. Ryu Seong-Min (G) 77. Sim Sang-Min 66. Trojak M. 99. Yago Cariello	31. Hong J. (G) 27. Kim Do-Hyun 6. Kim Dong-Hyun 9. Kim Gun-Hee 39. Lee Ji-Ho 8. Lee Seung-Won 24. Park H. 19. Park Sang-Hyeok 47. Shin Min-Ha
Coaches
Kim Hyun-seok	Chung Kyung-Ho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 1 - 0, Kim Young-Gwon ⚽, Lee Dong-Gyeong (A),
35', 1 - 1, Sekidika J. ⚽, Lee You-Hyeon (A),
43', 1 - 2, Kim Young-Gwon (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lee Dong-Gyeong ↓, Erick Farias ↑,
46', Jang Si-Young ↓, Yago Cariello ↑,
46', Lee Jin-Hyun ↓, Sim Sang-Min ↑,
55', 2 - 2, Jung Seung-Hyun ⚽,
66', Kang Joon-Hyuck ↓, Park Sang-Hyeok ↑,
66', Choe Byeong-Chan ↓, Kim Do-Hyun ↑,
81', Goh Young-Jun ↓, Kim Gun-Hee ↑,
81', Seo Min-Woo ↓, Kim Dong-Hyun ↑,
81', Lee Dong-Gyeong ↓, Lee H. ↑,
82', 2 - 3, Kim Dong-Hyun ⚽,
84', Yago Cariello 🟨,
85', Lee Gyu-Seong ↓, Bojanic D. ↑,
85', Kim Dong-Hyun ↓, Park H. ↑,
90', Lee H. 🟨,
90+7', Tuci M. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulsan won 1.

In recent matches, Ulsan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gangwon has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gangwon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ulsan won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:19. (average 1.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ulsan won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 27:7. (average 2.5:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ulsan HD	31	14	5	12	48:44	4	47
3	Gangwon	31	11	13	7	38:28	10	46

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulsan HD
South Korean K-League 1
08.08.26	Pohang Steelers - Ulsan HD	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Ulsan HD - Anyang	3:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Ulsan Citizen - Ulsan HD	1:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
26.07.26	FC Seoul - Ulsan HD	1:3 ✺
21.07.26	Ulsan HD - Incheon United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWLWL
- Gangwon FC
AFC Champions League
11.08.26	Gangwon - Gamba Osaka	0:1 AET ✺
South Korean K-League 1
01.08.26	Gangwon - Bucheon	0:3 ✺
26.07.26	Anyang - Gangwon	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Jeju - Gangwon	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Gangwon - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
17.05.26	Gangwon - Ulsan HD	2:0
28.02.26	Ulsan HD - Gangwon	3:1
27.07.25	Gangwon - Ulsan HD	2:2
17.05.25	Gangwon - Ulsan HD	1:1
19.04.25	Ulsan HD - Gangwon	1:2
01.11.24	Ulsan HD - Gangwon	2:1
13.09.24	Ulsan HD - Gangwon	2:0

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