Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Relegation Group - Round 22

Date: 8 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Dingnan Football Youth Training Center (Dingnan)


	Ganzhou Ruishi		Lanzhou Longyuan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.2
				Watch
	2.11	3.01	3.34
	2.1	3.17	3.37	Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.4
	2.04	3.26	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.33)	3.15 ↓ (3.25)	3.33 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ganzhou Ruishi
44.1%

Draw
28.7%

Lanzhou Longyuan
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

27.8%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

27.4%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ganzhou Ruishi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ganzhou Ruishi's performance.

Lanzhou Longyuan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lanzhou Longyuan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ganzhou Ruishi than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanzhou Longyuan than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lanzhou Longyuan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ganzhou Ruishi - Lanzhou Longyuan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Mai Gaoling (G) 54. Cao Jinlong 28. Li Lingwei 3. Zhang Tianlong 12. Zhang Chenlong 37. Zhuang Jiajie 17. Gan Xianhao 15. Wang Peng 47. Li Shiwen 22. Wu J. 19. Zhou Z.	50. Fu Zhenhao (G) 22. Liu Zefeng 4. Xiao Yufeng 19. Chen Z. 18. Zeng Y. 2. Chen Zefeng 23. Guo Ze 7. Sun Yue 39. Chen Kerui 14. Ying Yuxiao 10. Pan Yuchen
Substitutes
30. Chen Zewen 46. Huang S. 52. Huang Yikai 10. Leng Jixuan 31. Liu Shangkun 39. Li Yihao (G) 42. Teng Hui (G) 48. You Y.	45. Chen Yu 33. Gao Yixuan 15. Liu Y. 20. Li Yu 8. Lu Chenghe 16. Mu Qianyu (G) 11. Tai Jianfeng 17. Wang Zeyang 29. Zhang Z.
Coaches
Xie Yuxin	Qu W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Cao Jinlong ⚽, Zhou Z. (A),
26', Chen Z. 🟨,
27', Pan Yuchen 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Ying Yuxiao ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wang Peng ↓, Chen Zewen ↑,
46', Chen Zefeng ↓, Li Yu ↑,
57', Guo Ze ↓, Gao Yixuan ↑,
71', Wu J. ↓, Leng Jixuan ↑,
73', Ying Yuxiao ↓, Tai Jianfeng ↑,
77', Zhang Chenlong 🟨,
80', Zhang Tianlong ↓, Huang Yikai ↑,
82', Tai Jianfeng 🟨,
84', Pan Yuchen 🟨,
90+1', Cao Jinlong ↓, Liu Shangkun ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ganzhou Ruishi
Chinese Yi League
31.08.24	Taian Tiankuang - Ganzhou Ruishi	1:3 ✺
25.08.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	2:2 ✺
17.08.24	Hubei Istar - Ganzhou Ruishi	1:2 ✺
27.07.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Guangxi Lanhang	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	Quanzhou Yassin - Ganzhou Ruishi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTWTL
- Lanzhou Longyuan
Chinese Yi League
31.08.24	Quanzhou Yassin - Lanzhou Longyuan	0:0 ✺
25.08.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Wenzhou Professional	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Guangxi Lanhang	1:0 ✺
28.07.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	3:0 ✺
21.07.24	Shaanxi Union - Lanzhou Longyuan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TTWWL

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