Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Relegation Group - Round 19

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Rizhao International Football Centre Stadium (Rizhao)


	Lanzhou Longyuan		Guangxi Lanhang

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.4	4.75
				Watch
	1.65	3.4	4.96
	1.66	3.37	5.25	Watch
	1.83	3.2	3.9
	1.65	3.44	5.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.02)	3.36 ↑ (3.1)	4.77 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanzhou Longyuan
54%

Draw
27%

Guangxi Lanhang
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

29.2%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

29.1%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanzhou Longyuan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lanzhou Longyuan's performance.

Guangxi Lanhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangxi Lanhang might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanzhou Longyuan than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lanzhou Longyuan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Lanhang than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangxi Lanhang could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lanzhou Longyuan - Guangxi Lanhang Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Mu Qianyu (G) 45. Chen Yu 18. Zeng Y. 4. Xiao Yufeng 22. Liu Zefeng 19. Chen Z. 39. Chen Kerui 14. Ying Yuxiao 10. Pan Yuchen 17. Wang Zeyang 9. Bai T.	1. Wang Xibo (G) 3. Xie Shixian 5. Chen S. 48. Wei Minghe 7. Xi Zhenyun 17. Wang Jiahao 6. Guo Y. 20. Jiang Z. 23. Chi Dian 8. Zheng Y. 22. Liao J.
Substitutes
2. Chen Zefeng 28. Esqer Iskender 50. Fu Zhenhao (G) 33. Gao Yixuan 23. Guo Ze 27. Li Gongtai 15. Liu Y. 20. Li Yu 47. Su Jiale 11. Tai Jianfeng 3. Yang Pengju 29. Zhang Z.	16. Cheng H. 42. Huang Xuanzhong (G) 46. Li-Jing Chengyu 10. Memet-Ali M. 44. Xia Zhengrong 30. Yu Xueyi 13. Zhang J. 43. Zheng Y. 18. Zou Q.
Coaches
Qu W.	Gong Lei

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Liu Zefeng 🟨,
39', Chen S. 🟨,
45+2', Xi Zhenyun 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Chi Dian ↓, Yu Xueyi ↑,
46', Wang Zeyang ↓, Li Gongtai ↑,
46', Xi Zhenyun ↓, Memet-Ali M. ↑,
58', Wang Jiahao ↓, Xia Zhengrong ↑,
61', Bai T. ↓, Gao Yixuan ↑,
63', Pan Yuchen 🟨,
65', Guo Y. ↓, Li-Jing Chengyu ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Pan Yuchen ⚽, Gao Yixuan (A),
74', Ying Yuxiao ↓, Tai Jianfeng ↑,
80', Xie Shixian ↓, Zheng Y. ↑,
82', Li-Jing Chengyu 🟨,
85', Zheng Y. ↓, Zou Q. ↑,
89', Pan Yuchen ↓, Li Yu ↑,
89', Chen Yu ↓, Su Jiale ↑,
90+6', Chen Kerui ↓, Esqer Iskender ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lanzhou Longyuan
Chinese Yi League
28.07.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	3:0 ✺
21.07.24	Shaanxi Union - Lanzhou Longyuan	3:0 ✺
13.07.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Hubei Istar	1:0 ✺
07.07.24	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Lanzhou Longyuan	0:0 ✺
29.06.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Dalian Kun City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WLWTW
- Guangxi Lanhang
Chinese Yi League
27.07.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Guangxi Lanhang	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	Guangxi Lanhang - Hunan Billows	1:1 ✺
14.07.24	Wenzhou Professional - Guangxi Lanhang	2:1 ✺
06.07.24	Guangxi Lanhang - Quanzhou Yassin	2:0 ✺
30.06.24	Guangxi Lanhang - Shenzhen Juniors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TTLWT

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