Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Round 17

Date: 21 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Rizhao International Football Centre Stadium (Rizhao)


	Shaanxi Union		Lanzhou Longyuan

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.4	7.75
				Watch
	1.42	4.02	5.95
	1.34	4.44	8.38	Watch
	1.33	4.2	7.5
	1.32	4.5	8.6
	1.33	4.5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (7)	4.34 ↑ (4.2)	7.7 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shaanxi Union
67.4%

Draw
20.9%

Lanzhou Longyuan
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.7%

21.2%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

18.4%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shaanxi Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+54.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shaanxi Union's performance.

Lanzhou Longyuan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-54.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lanzhou Longyuan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shaanxi Union than the current prediction. (-52.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shaanxi Union that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanzhou Longyuan than the current prediction. (+45.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lanzhou Longyuan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shaanxi Union - Lanzhou Longyuan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Zhou Yuchen (G) 49. Eysajan Elkut 5. Yao Diran 41. Wu J. 38. Hu Mingtian 15. Wen Wubin 29. Mi Haolun 45. Zhong Weihong 10. Gao Tianyu 18. Ruan Jun 34. Pang Zhiquan	16. Mu Qianyu (G) 33. Gao Yixuan 18. Zeng Y. 2. Chen Zefeng 4. Xiao Yufeng 39. Chen Kerui 45. Chen Yu 10. Pan Yuchen 9. Bai T. 14. Ying Yuxiao 27. Li Gongtai
Substitutes
22. Chen X. 6. Ding Jie 25. Li Chen (G) 9. Li Rui 60. Li Tianle (G) 20. Palmanjan K. 36. Pei Shuai 4. Wang Weipu 17. Wu Chengru 32. Xu Wu 44. Yang Ruiqi 16. Yangyang Ma	28. Esqer Iskender 50. Fu Zhenhao (G) 23. Guo Ze 15. Liu Y. 25. Liu Z. 47. Su Jiale 3. Yang Pengju 29. Zhang Z.
Coaches
Cespedes O.	Qu W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Hu Mingtian ↓, Yangyang Ma ↑,
46', Gao Tianyu ↓, Wang Weipu ↑,
46', Pang Zhiquan ↓, Li Rui ↑,
58', Zhong Weihong ↓, Palmanjan K. ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Zeng Y. (Own goal),
63', 2 - 0, Yangyang Ma ⚽, Li Rui (A),
67', Chen Zefeng ↓, Guo Ze ↑,
67', Bai T. ↓, Yang Pengju ↑,
71', Yao Diran ↓, Yang Ruiqi ↑,
77', 3 - 0, Palmanjan K. ⚽, Wen Wubin (A),
77', Ying Yuxiao ↓, Zhang Z. ↑,
78', Li Gongtai ↓, Liu Y. ↑,
80', Palmanjan K. 🟨,
89', Ruan Jun 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )).

Rizhao Yuqi is Yi League (Relegation Group )

Shaanxi Union is Qualified for Yi League (Promotion Group )

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Shaanxi Union is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rizhao Yuqi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Rizhao Yuqi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shaanxi Union FC
Chinese Yi League
13.07.24	Shaanxi Union - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	1:2 ✺
07.07.24	Taian Tiankuang - Shaanxi Union	2:4 ✺
29.06.24	Shaanxi Union - Shandong Taishan B	2:1 ✺
25.06.24	Nantong Haimen Codion - Shaanxi Union	3:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.06.24	Shaanxi Union - Changchun Yatai	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWLL
- Lanzhou Longyuan
Chinese Yi League
13.07.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Hubei Istar	1:0 ✺
07.07.24	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Lanzhou Longyuan	0:0 ✺
29.06.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Dalian Kun City	2:1 ✺
24.06.24	Taian Tiankuang - Lanzhou Longyuan	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.06.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
11.05.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Shaanxi Union	0:1

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