Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 3

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Location: Essity Stadium (Flint)

Referee: Jones A. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play
Wales	Cymru Football TV


	Gap Connahs Quay		Trefelin

	1	X	2
	1.20	6.00	9.75
	1.28	5.15	7.8
	1.23	6.23	10.38
	1.38	4.75	7.79	Watch
	1.36	4.75	7.75
	1.33	5.12	8.18
	1.29	5.2	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↑ (1.22)	5.31 ↓ (5.4)	8.49 ↓ (11.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gap Connahs Quay
71.6%

Draw
17.5%

Trefelin
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.9%

16.9%

8.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gap Connahs Quay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Trefelin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Gap Connahs Quay - Trefelin Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Connahs Quay will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Renshaw C. (G) 16. Deane F. 22. Ferguson J. 9. Franklin H. 5. Hughes A. 4. Jones J. (C) 99. Mehasseb H. 11. Stone M. 21. Watson R. 8. West C. 18. Woodcock M.	1. Coughlan S. (G) 10. Brock T. 4. Caramella-Gerrard L. 8. Davies J. (C) 7. Georgievsky K. 3. Horgan-Evans D. 9. John D. 14. Jones J. 19. Jones J. 26. Owen K. 11. Ware L.
Substitutes
55. Jones A. (G) 68. Liepa D. (G) 34. Partridge C. 27. Redshaw F. 23. Sharif A. 7. Stephenson D. 37. Waterhouse J.	21. Jones H. (G) 15. Parker K. 16. Piper R. 33. Pockett L. 12. Saunders C. 2. Thomas M.
Coaches
Disney J.	Hill A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Ferguson J. ⚽,
17', John D. 🟨,
20', 2 - 0, Mehasseb H. ⚽,
45+3', Jones J. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
47', Georgievsky K. 🟨,
54', 3 - 0, Mehasseb H. ⚽,
56', Davies J. 🟨,
56', 4 - 0, Ferguson J. ⚽,
58', Mehasseb H. ↓, Stephenson D. ↑,
58', Watson R. ↓, Sharif A. ↑,
58', Woodcock M. ↓, Redshaw F. ↑,
66', Georgievsky K. ↓, Piper R. ↑,
66', Davies J. ↓, Saunders C. ↑,
74', Jones J. ↓, Parker K. ↑,
79', John D. ↓, Pockett L. ↑,
80', Hughes A. ↓, Partridge C. ↑,
83', 5 - 0, Ferguson J. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Stone M. ↓, Jones A. ↑,
90+5', 6 - 0, Franklin H. ⚽, West C. (A),

Preview

Connahs Quay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In this match, Connahs Quay is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

Connahs Q.: 3.14% Trefelin: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Trefelin	12	0	3	9	5:30	-25	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gap Connahs Quay
Welsh Cymru Premier
07.08.26	Holywell Town - Gap Connahs Quay	1:3 ✺
02.08.26	Gap Connahs Quay - Caernarfon Town	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.07.26	Ballkani - Gap Connahs Quay	3:2 ✺
08.07.26	Gap Connahs Quay - Ballkani	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
27.06.26	Queen of the South - Gap Connahs Quay	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLTW
- Trefelin BGC
Welsh Cymru Premier
07.08.26	Trefelin - Llandudno	0:4 ✺
31.07.26	Colwyn Bay - Trefelin	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.07.26	Carmarthen Town - Trefelin	4:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
18.04.26	Newport City - Trefelin	0:5 ✺
03.04.26	Trefelin - Treowen Stars	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh FA Cup
16.11.24	Trefelin - Gap Connahs Quay	1:2
25.09.21	Trefelin - Gap Connahs Quay	0:4

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