Match Info

Cymru South - Round 30

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Newport City		Trefelin

	1	X	2
	6.9	5.3	1.29
	5.03	6.57	1.34
	5.75	5.89	1.38	Watch
	6.5	5.5	1.25
	7.33	4.97	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.3 ↓ (6.86)	5.65 ↓ (6.04)	1.33 ↑ (1.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport City
14.6%

Draw
16.3%

Trefelin
69.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

15.1%

71.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Trefelin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Newport City - Trefelin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
8', 0 - 1, Bowen L. ⚽,
13', 0 - 2, Saunders C. ⚽,
22', 0 - 3, Bowen L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 0 - 4, Brock T. ⚽,
82', 0 - 5, Bowen L. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).

Trefelin is Qualified for Cymru Premier

Newport City is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Trefelin is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Newport City has had a series of away games.

In this match, Trefelin is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Newport City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Newport City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Newport City	7	2	2	3	10:6	4	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport City FC
Welsh Cymru South
03.04.26	Ammanford - Newport City	4:0 ✺
28.03.26	Cardiff Draconians - Newport City	0:1 ✺
20.03.26	Newport City - Treowen Stars	2:3 ✺
14.03.26	Ynyshir Albions - Newport City	4:0 ✺
09.03.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Newport City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLLL
- Trefelin BGC
Welsh Cymru South
03.04.26	Trefelin - Treowen Stars	6:0 ✺
30.03.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Trefelin	1:8 ✺
21.03.26	Cardiff Draconians - Trefelin	0:4 ✺
17.03.26	Trefelin - Cambrian United	0:4 ✺
07.03.26	Trefelin - Aberystwyth Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
09.08.25	Trefelin - Newport City	0:2
13.12.24	Trefelin - Newport City	4:3
07.09.24	Newport City - Trefelin	1:0

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