Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP IV - ROUND 12

Date: 13 October 2023, Friday


	Garbarnia Kraków		Chełmianka Chełm

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.5	2.2
				Watch
	2.29	3.9	2.42
	2.49	3.58	2.38	Watch
	2.42	3.8	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (1.85)	3.7 ↓ (3.85)	2.33 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Garbarnia Kraków
36.8%

Draw
24.4%

Chełmianka Chełm
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

23.3%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

24.2%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Garbarnia Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Garbarnia Kraków's form might have worsened.

Chełmianka Chełm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chełmianka Chełm's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garbarnia Kraków than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Garbarnia Kraków, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chełmianka Chełm than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chełmianka Chełm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Garbarnia Kraków - Chełmianka Chełm Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Garbarnia will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Chełmianka will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 6).

Recent matches Garbarnia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chełmianka is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Garbarnia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Garbarnia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Garbarnia Kraków
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
10.10.23	Wiślanie Jaśkowice - Garbarnia Kraków	2:2 ✺
07.10.23	Garbarnia Kraków - Sokół Sieniawa	3:4 ✺
Polish Cup
27.09.23	Garbarnia Kraków - Radomiak Radom	2:1 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
22.09.23	Garbarnia Kraków - Karpaty Krosno	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Star Starachowice - Garbarnia Kraków	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.4 TLWWL
- Chełmianka Chełm
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
07.10.23	Chełmianka Chełm - Wiślanie Jaśkowice	1:6 ✺
30.09.23	Karpaty Krosno - Chełmianka Chełm	3:4 ✺
23.09.23	Chełmianka Chełm - Star Starachowice	2:0 ✺
16.09.23	Czarni Połaniec - Chełmianka Chełm	3:3 ✺
09.09.23	Chełmianka Chełm - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LWWTW

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