Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP IV - ROUND 10

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday


	Karpaty Krosno		Chełmianka Chełm

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.4	1.75
	4.54	3.79	1.61
	4.24	3.5	1.76	Watch
	3.35	3.65	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↑ (2.86)	3.59 ↓ (3.62)	1.74 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karpaty Krosno
22.6%

Draw
25.3%

Chełmianka Chełm
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

24.7%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

24.1%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karpaty Krosno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karpaty Krosno's form might have worsened.

Chełmianka Chełm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chełmianka Chełm's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karpaty Krosno than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karpaty Krosno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chełmianka Chełm than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chełmianka Chełm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Karpaty Krosno - Chełmianka Chełm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Karpaty Krosno has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Chełmianka in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chełmianka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Chełmianka to win the game is with odds 2.3.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Karpaty Krosno won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Karpaty Krosno won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karpaty Krosno
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
22.09.23	Garbarnia Kraków - Karpaty Krosno	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Karpaty Krosno - Wiślanie Jaśkowice	0:2 ✺
09.09.23	Karpaty Krosno - Sokół Sieniawa	0:1 ✺
02.09.23	Star Starachowice - Karpaty Krosno	3:0 ✺
26.08.23	Karpaty Krosno - Czarni Połaniec	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Chełmianka Chełm
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
23.09.23	Chełmianka Chełm - Star Starachowice	2:0 ✺
16.09.23	Czarni Połaniec - Chełmianka Chełm	3:3 ✺
09.09.23	Chełmianka Chełm - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:0 ✺
02.09.23	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Chełmianka Chełm	1:3 ✺
27.08.23	Chełmianka Chełm - Podhale Nowy Targ	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
30.05.18	Karpaty Krosno - Chełmianka Chełm	0:0
28.10.17	Chełmianka Chełm - Karpaty Krosno	1:0

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