Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 19

Date: 11 November 2022, Friday


	Garbarnia Kraków		KKS Kalisz

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	1.95
	3.3	3.55	1.83
	3.1	3.5	1.98
	2.87	3.72	2.2
	3.1	3.4	1.95
	3.32	3.42	1.98	Watch
	3.55	4	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (3)	3.58 ↑ (3.4)	1.96 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Garbarnia Kraków
28.5%

Draw
25.3%

KKS Kalisz
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

27.4%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

26.8%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Garbarnia Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

KKS Kalisz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garbarnia Kraków than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KKS Kalisz than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.5%	11.5%	76.9%

Garbarnia Kraków - KKS Kalisz Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Garbarnia will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). KKS Kalisz will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for KKS Kalisz: 60.7% – 93.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).

Garbarnia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

KKS Kalisz in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

KKS Kalisz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently KKS Kalisz have a series of home games.

KKS Kalisz will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Garbarnia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Garbarnia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Garbarnia Kraków
Polish Division 2
05.11.22	Motor Lublin - Garbarnia Kraków	3:0 ✺
29.10.22	Polkowice - Garbarnia Kraków	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	Garbarnia Kraków - Olimpia Elbląg	1:2 ✺
15.10.22	Garbarnia Kraków - GKS Jastrzębie	4:4 ✺
07.10.22	Polonia Warsaw - Garbarnia Kraków	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLTT
- KKS 1925 Kalisz
Polish Cup
08.11.22	KKS Kalisz - Górnik Zabrze	4:3 penalties ✺
Polish Division 2
04.11.22	KKS Kalisz - Polonia Warsaw	3:0 ✺
30.10.22	KKS Kalisz - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	5:2 ✺
23.10.22	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - KKS Kalisz	0:0 ✺
Polish Cup
18.10.22	KKS Kalisz - Olimpia Elbląg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
23.07.22	KKS Kalisz - Garbarnia Kraków	3:1
07.05.22	KKS Kalisz - Garbarnia Kraków	2:1
29.10.21	Garbarnia Kraków - KKS Kalisz	3:1
17.03.21	Garbarnia Kraków - KKS Kalisz	1:2
12.09.20	KKS Kalisz - Garbarnia Kraków	1:2

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