Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 4 November 2022, Friday


	KKS Kalisz		Polonia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	2.7
	2.25	3.3	2.65
	2.25	3.25	2.75
	2.33	3.47	2.82
	2.2	3.2	2.75
	2.29	3.42	2.7	Watch
	2.31	3.4	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.4)	3.33 ↓ (3.4)	2.75 (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KKS Kalisz
40%

Draw
27.1%

Polonia Warsaw
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

27.4%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

26.6%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KKS Kalisz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KKS Kalisz than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Polonia Warsaw aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	60%	10%

KKS Kalisz - Polonia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. KKS Kalisz will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Polonia will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).

KKS Kalisz in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Polonia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches KKS Kalisz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KKS 1925 Kalisz
Polish Division 2
30.10.22	KKS Kalisz - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	5:2 ✺
23.10.22	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - KKS Kalisz	0:0 ✺
Polish Cup
18.10.22	KKS Kalisz - Olimpia Elbląg	2:0 ✺
Polish Division 2
14.10.22	KKS Kalisz - Radunia Stężyca	5:1 ✺
08.10.22	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - KKS Kalisz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTWWW
- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 2
29.10.22	Motor Lublin - Polonia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
21.10.22	Polonia Warsaw - Polkowice	3:0 ✺
15.10.22	Olimpia Elbląg - Polonia Warsaw	0:2 ✺
07.10.22	Polonia Warsaw - Garbarnia Kraków	1:1 ✺
02.10.22	Polonia Warsaw - GKS Jastrzębie	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
28.09.22	Polonia Warsaw - KKS Kalisz	3:2

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