Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday


	Motor Lublin		Garbarnia Kraków

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	4.6
	1.45	4	5.1
	1.58	4	4.4
	1.63	4.49	4.24
	1.62	4	4.2
	1.57	4.05	4.65	Watch
	1.61	4.2	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.8)	4.08 ↑ (3.75)	4.54 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motor Lublin
57.7%

Draw
22.3%

Garbarnia Kraków
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

24.9%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

24.4%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Motor Lublin's performance.

Garbarnia Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garbarnia Kraków than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Motor Lublin - Garbarnia Kraków Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Garbarnia will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Motor: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Motor won 2.

Motor is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Garbarnia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Motor is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Motor won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Motor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motor Lublin
Polish Division 2
29.10.22	Motor Lublin - Polonia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
22.10.22	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Motor Lublin	0:2 ✺
Polish Cup
19.10.22	Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin	1:0 ET ✺
Polish Division 2
15.10.22	Motor Lublin - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	3:1 ✺
09.10.22	Radunia Stężyca - Motor Lublin	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 LWWWT
- Garbarnia Kraków
Polish Division 2
29.10.22	Polkowice - Garbarnia Kraków	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	Garbarnia Kraków - Olimpia Elbląg	1:2 ✺
15.10.22	Garbarnia Kraków - GKS Jastrzębie	4:4 ✺
07.10.22	Polonia Warsaw - Garbarnia Kraków	1:1 ✺
04.10.22	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Garbarnia Kraków	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
17.07.22	Garbarnia Kraków - Motor Lublin	2:2
04.04.22	Garbarnia Kraków - Motor Lublin	0:1
18.09.21	Motor Lublin - Garbarnia Kraków	3:0
21.04.21	Garbarnia Kraków - Motor Lublin	2:1
25.09.20	Motor Lublin - Garbarnia Kraków	1:1
Polish Division 2 - East
15.03.14	Motor Lublin - Garbarnia Kraków	3:1

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