Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group IV - Round 34

Date: 8 June 2024, Saturday


	Garbarnia Kraków		KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.8	4.1
	1.92	4.01	2.98
	1.93	4.01	2.98
	1.85	3.82	3.39	Watch
	1.67	4.35	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.6)	4.2 ↓ (4.5)	3.4 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Garbarnia Kraków
51.4%

Draw
21.7%

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

20.3%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

19.9%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Garbarnia Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Garbarnia Kraków's form might have worsened.

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garbarnia Kraków than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Garbarnia Kraków, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Garbarnia Kraków - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, Bragiel D. ⚽,
63', 1 - 1, ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 8).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Garbarnia is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Garbarnia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Garbarnia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Garbarnia Kraków
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
01.06.24	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Garbarnia Kraków	2:3 ✺
25.05.24	Garbarnia Kraków - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	0:1 ✺
19.05.24	Wiązownica - Garbarnia Kraków	5:1 ✺
15.05.24	Garbarnia Kraków - Avia Świdnik	1:1 ✺
11.05.24	Chełmianka Chełm - Garbarnia Kraków	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLTW
- KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
31.05.24	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Wiślanie Jaśkowice	0:2 ✺
24.05.24	Karpaty Krosno - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:1 ✺
18.05.24	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Star Starachowice	2:0 ✺
15.05.24	Czarni Połaniec - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	3:0 ✺
11.05.24	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
18.11.23	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Garbarnia Kraków	2:2
27.05.17	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Garbarnia Kraków	2:0
09.11.16	Garbarnia Kraków - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:2

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