Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 12

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Miejski Stadion Sportowy (Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski)


	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski		Siarka Tarnobrzeg

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.95	4.25
	1.7	3.9	4.25
	1.71	3.94	4.03	Watch
	1.62	3.98	4.36	Watch
	1.54	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.82)	3.95 ↑ (3.73)	4.33 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
55.8%

Draw
23.1%

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

24.4%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

24%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski's performance.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Siarka Tarnobrzeg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
27', 0 - 1, Mroz P. ⚽,
39', 0 - 2, Waclawek B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 1 - 2, (Own goal),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ostrowiec won 2.

Ostrowiec is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Siarka Tarnobrzeg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Ostrowiec is seen as the favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ostrowiec won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ostrowiec won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
05.10.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Stal Kraśnik	2:2 ✺
19.09.25	Korona Kielce 2 - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Star Starachowice	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTWWT
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
04.10.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Naprzód Jędrzejów	4:0 ✺
27.09.25	Czarni Połaniec - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:5 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Hutnik	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
20.09.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Wisłoka Dębica - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
22.03.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	3:0
Club Friendly
11.01.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	2:1
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
24.08.24	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:2
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:1
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
11.05.24	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:2
Club Friendly
17.02.24	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:3
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
14.10.23	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	2:0

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