Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 13

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday


	Gardabani		Gonio

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	1.95
	3.1	3.55	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.65)	3.58 ↑ (3.5)	1.98 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gardabani
29.1%

Draw
25.3%

Gonio
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

26%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

24.5%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gardabani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gardabani's form might have worsened.

Gonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gonio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gardabani than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gardabani, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonio than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gonio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gardabani - Gonio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Avto ⚽,
28', Balarjishvili G. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 5)
50', 0 - 2, Apkhazava G. ⚽,
65', 0 - 3, Kasrelishvili J. ⚽,
67', 0 - 4, Tsetskhladze G. ⚽,
71', 0 - 5, Tsetskhladze G. ⚽,
85', 0 - 6, Ingorokva L. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 7).

Gardabani is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gonio has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Gardabani has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Gonio	23	11	5	7	32:24	8	38
13	Gardabani	22	4	4	14	18:53	-35	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Gardabani
Georgian Liga 3
21.05.26	Iberia 1999 2 - Gardabani	6:0 ✺
14.05.26	Gardabani - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	1:1 ✺
29.04.26	Kolkheti Khobi - Gardabani	2:1 ✺
16.04.26	Guria Lanchkhuti - Gardabani	0:0 ✺
09.04.26	Betlemi Keda - Gardabani	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LTLTL
- FC Gonio
Georgian Liga 3
21.05.26	Gonio - Betlemi Keda	3:0 ✺
14.05.26	Merani Tbilisi - Gonio	1:1 ✺
07.05.26	Gonio - Didube	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Orbi - Gonio	4:0 ✺
24.04.26	Tbilisi 2025 - Gonio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTLLT

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