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Current Win Probability
Gareji Sagarejo 41.2%
Draw 29.1%
Shturmi 29.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.8%
28.1%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.2%
27.8%
34.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gareji Sagarejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Shturmi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shturmi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gareji Sagarejo than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shturmi than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Gareji Sagarejo - Shturmi Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Gareji will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Shturmi will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Bediashvili G. (G) 30. Zurabiani D. 24. Samadashvili G. 26. Eradze Z. 23. Gulisashvili I. 10. Babunadze T. 4. Tolordava L. (C) 8. Tsetskhladze G. 11. Aidarashvili D. 15. Kapanadze T. 29. Gugberidze B.
25. Tabeshadze M. (G) 4. Lataria Z. 40. Nozadze L. 28. Sekhniashvili Z. (C) 9. Butskhrikidze L. 23. Talakhadze N. 17. Vekua G. 12. Mosashvili B. 24. Kemoklidze L. 10. Omarashvili G. 33. Kardava D.
Substitutes
3. Chokheli N. 9. Gelashvili N. 6. Gogokhia N. 27. Gozalishvili S. 25. Jikia N. 35. Kikvadze G. 1. Liparteliani A. (G) 21. Ninidze N.
19. Arveladze A. 14. Berozashvili L. 21. Bubuteishvili L. 1. Gurgenidze L. (G) 27. Kvelashvili N. 3. Latsabidze G. 7. Peradze G. 2. Talakhadze G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Sekhniashvili Z. 🟨,
61', Kardava D. ↓, Lekvtadze I. ↑,
66', Kapanadze T. ↓, Tchikaidze I. ↑,
66', Kemoklidze L. ↓, Bubuteishvili L. ↑,
66', Butskhrikidze L. ↓, Latsabidze G. ↑,
78', Gugberidze B. ↓, Ninidze N. ↑,
82', Tsetskhladze G. ↓, Gelashvili N. ↑,
84', Omarashvili G. ↓, Peradze G. ↑,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga and 4).
Gareji is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Shturmi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gareji won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 2.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Gareji won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 4.5:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
27
14
8
5
35:28
7
50
3
Shturmi
27
11
10
6
29:23
6
43
Last Results with these Odds
Gareji Sagarejo - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 36.84%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Shturmi - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.03%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.