The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sioni Bolnisi 48%
Draw 29.4%
Gareji Sagarejo 22.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
29.7%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.7%
30.3%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sioni Bolnisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sioni Bolnisi's performance.
Gareji Sagarejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gareji Sagarejo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sioni Bolnisi than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sioni Bolnisi that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gareji Sagarejo than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gareji Sagarejo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sioni Bolnisi - Gareji Sagarejo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kurdadze B. (G) 2. Gaprindashvili G. (C) 25. Kilasonia V. 6. Huskic A. 16. Ubilava G. 13. Kakulia G. 12. Tsnobiladze D. 14. Leo Silva 4. Mindiashvili T. 39. Kevin 8. Asamoah B.
12. Bediashvili G. (G) 30. Zurabiani D. 24. Samadashvili G. 23. Gulisashvili I. 15. Kapanadze T. 5. Nikolaishvili G. 4. Tolordava L. (C) 17. Kalandadze L. 10. Babunadze T. 11. Aidarashvili D. 14. Tchikaidze I.
Substitutes
32. Avaliani L. (G) 23. Chachua G. 3. Dundua T. 19. Gazdeliani R. 7. Gegeshidze L. 21. Jeladze G. 9. Kukhianidze S. 11. Mzwakali B. 15. Tutashvili N.
26. Eradze Z. 9. Gelashvili N. 6. Gogokhia N. 22. Grigalashvili N. 29. Gugberidze B. 35. Kikvadze G. 1. Liparteliani A. (G) 21. Ninidze N. 8. Tsetskhladze G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Kilasonia V. (Penalty Awarded),
31', Gaprindashvili G. 🟨,
38', Kakulia G. 🟨,
39', Kakulia G. 🟨,
45+4', Asamoah B. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 0, Asamoah B. ⚽, Leo Silva (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Aidarashvili D. ↓, Gugberidze B. ↑,
64', Kevin ↓, Tutashvili N. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Tchikaidze I. ⚽, Gulisashvili I. (A),
77', Kapanadze T. ↓, Eradze Z. ↑,
83', Tchikaidze I. ↓, Gelashvili N. ↑,
83', Nikolaishvili G. ↓, Tsetskhladze G. ↑,
83', Kalandadze L. ↓, Grigalashvili N. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sioni won 1.
Sioni has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Gareji is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sioni won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Sioni won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).
Watch
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Kurdadze B. (G) 
Huskic A. 
Leo Silva 
Asamoah B. 
Mzwakali B. 
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