Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 - Round 16

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Central stadium (Sagaredzo)


	Gareji Sagarejo		Samtredia

	1	X	2
	1.94	3.20	3.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 (1.94)	3.2 (3.2)	3.78 (3.78)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gareji Sagarejo
47.2%

Draw
28.6%

Samtredia
24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

27.3%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Gareji Sagarejo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Samtredia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gareji Sagarejo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samtredia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bediashvili G. (G) 30. Zurabiani D. 24. Samadashvili G. 26. Eradze Z. 23. Gulisashvili I. 5. Nikolaishvili G. 4. Tolordava L. (C) 17. Kalandadze L. 10. Babunadze T. 11. Aidarashvili D. 29. Gugberidze B.	25. Labadze A. (G) 2. Gvishiani G. 30. Akhalkatsi S. 15. Kveladze G. 14. Gauto R. 7. Mandzhgaladze G. (C) 32. Lopez B. 40. Chikovani T. 10. Cordero Gonzalez J. 11. Odikadze T. 9. Makatsaria T.
Substitutes
39. Chilachava S. (G) 9. Gelashvili N. 27. Gozalishvili S. 25. Jikia N. 35. Kikvadze G. 21. Ninidze N. 14. Tchikaidze I. 8. Tsetskhladze G.	35. Adeishvili A. 27. Aleksidze T. 21. Baratelia R. 20. Gagnidze O. 29. Gigashvili Z. 12. Lazarevs V. (G) 22. Mchedlishvili G. 31. Tsulaia L. 18. Visentini L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Nikolaishvili G. ⚽,
28', Gvishiani G. ↓, Mchedlishvili G. ↑,
38', 2 - 0, Gugberidze B. ⚽, Babunadze T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Chikovani T. ↓, Baratelia R. ↑,
55', Baratelia R. ↓, Tsulaia L. ↑,
62', 3 - 0, Gugberidze B. ⚽, Zurabiani D. (A),
66', Akhalkatsi S. ↓, Gagnidze O. ↑,
66', Makatsaria T. ↓, Gigashvili Z. ↑,
67', Mchedlishvili G. 🟨,
68', Gugberidze B. ↓, Tchikaidze I. ↑,
68', Kalandadze L. 🟨,
71', Babunadze T. ↓, Tsetskhladze G. ↑,
75', Gigashvili Z. 🟨,
77', 3 - 1, Cordero Gonzalez J. ⚽, Mchedlishvili G. (A),
87', Gauto R. 🟨,
87', Gagnidze O. 🟨,
87', Tolordava L. 🟨,
87', Bediashvili G. 🟨,
89', 3 - 2, Cordero Gonzalez J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', Mandzhgaladze G. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga and 8 in the zone Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gareji won 3.

Gareji is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Samtredia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Samtredia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Samtredia has had a series of home games.

Gareji might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gareji won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 2.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gareji won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:1. (average 3.5:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Gareji Sagarejo	27	14	8	5	35:28	7	50
5	Samtredia	27	11	4	12	48:40	8	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gareji Sagarejo
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
24.05.26	Sioni Bolnisi - Gareji Sagarejo	1:1 ✺
20.05.26	Gareji Sagarejo - Merani Martvili	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Kolkheti Poti - Gareji Sagarejo	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Aragvi Dusheti - Gareji Sagarejo	0:1 ✺
06.05.26	Gareji Sagarejo - Telavi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWTWW
- FC Samtredia
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
24.05.26	Samtredia - Telavi	0:3 ✺
16.05.26	Samtredia - Shturmi	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Gori - Samtredia	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	Samtredia - Aragvi Dusheti	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Samtredia - Sioni Bolnisi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
18.04.26	Samtredia - Gareji Sagarejo	0:1
Georgian Cup
27.07.24	Gareji Sagarejo - Samtredia	5:0
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
10.12.23	Gareji Sagarejo - Samtredia	3:1
06.12.23	Samtredia - Gareji Sagarejo	4:1
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
23.10.22	Samtredia - Gareji Sagarejo	2:0
28.08.22	Gareji Sagarejo - Samtredia	4:0
21.06.22	Gareji Sagarejo - Samtredia	2:0

Gareji Sagarejo - Samtredia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide