Match Info

GEORGIA: Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 - Round 30

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Central stadium (Sagaredzo)


	Gareji Sagarejo		WIT Georgia

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.8	6.8
	1.35	4.62	6.62
	1.56	3.74	6.23
	1.34	4.8	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.78)	4.49 ↑ (3.73)	6.61 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gareji Sagarejo
65.7%

Draw
20.4%

WIT Georgia
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

24.6%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

24%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gareji Sagarejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gareji Sagarejo's performance.

WIT Georgia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and WIT Georgia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gareji Sagarejo than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gareji Sagarejo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for WIT Georgia than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that WIT Georgia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Gurgenidze L. (G) 13. Galakhvaridze N. 3. Mirtskhulava B. 6. Kasrelishvili J. 15. Kapanadze T. 17. Vekua G. 21. Dzebniauri T. 19. Gogoberishvili B. 9. Poniava P. (C) 20. Samassa M. 10. Papava L.	1. Iobashvili D. (G) 14. Dalakishvili T. 4. Svianadze S. (C) 24. Berozashvili L. 5. Kharaishvili B. 23. Gulisashvili I. 13. Shermadini V. 17. Robakidze G. 20. Dvalishvili S. 29. Gugberidze B. 11. Dzagania A.
Substitutes
27. Aleksidze T. 25. Chikashua G. (G) 16. Gvasalia G. 8. Kakashvili K. 22. Lekvtadze I. 12. Olkhovi V. 7. Sardalishvili M. 11. Spanderashvili N. 23. Tolordava L.	21. Aptsiauri L. 19. Chokheli L. 7. Gambarashvili N. 6. Iashvili L. 3. Javakhishvili I. 25. Kapanadze A. (G) 15. Khutsishvili B. 22. Mushkudian M. 27. Tchikaidze I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Papava L. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Dzagania A. ⚽,
33', Dvalishvili S. 🟨,
37', Shermadini V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 2 - 1, Mirtskhulava B. ⚽, Galakhvaridze N. (A),
61', Shermadini V. ↓, Iashvili L. ↑,
65', Kasrelishvili J. 🟨,
66', Dalakishvili T. ↓, Mushkudian M. ↑,
66', Dvalishvili S. ↓, Gambarashvili N. ↑,
76', Samassa M. ↓, Sardalishvili M. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Dzagania A. ⚽, Berozashvili L. (A),
87', Gogoberishvili B. ↓, Spanderashvili N. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gareji won 1.

Gareji is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches WIT Georgia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Gareji have a series of guest games.

In this match Gareji is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Gareji to win the game is with odds 1.78.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Gareji won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 26:16 (average 1.9:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Gareji won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:9 (average 2.2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gareji Sagarejo
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
19.10.24	Spaeri - Gareji Sagarejo	1:3 ✺
05.10.24	Aragvi Dusheti - Gareji Sagarejo	1:3 ✺
30.09.24	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Gareji Sagarejo	1:2 ✺
26.09.24	Gareji Sagarejo - Kolkheti Khobi	4:0 ✺
22.09.24	Rustavi - Gareji Sagarejo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWL
- WIT Georgia
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
19.10.24	WIT Georgia - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	1:3 ✺
01.10.24	Rustavi - WIT Georgia	1:3 ✺
26.09.24	WIT Georgia - Sioni Bolnisi	4:2 ✺
21.09.24	Shturmi - WIT Georgia	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	WIT Georgia - Dinamo Tbilisi 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
23.08.24	WIT Georgia - Gareji Sagarejo	1:2
15.05.24	Gareji Sagarejo - WIT Georgia	1:1
16.03.24	WIT Georgia - Gareji Sagarejo	3:2
28.11.23	WIT Georgia - Gareji Sagarejo	2:0
17.09.23	Gareji Sagarejo - WIT Georgia	4:4
04.06.23	WIT Georgia - Gareji Sagarejo	0:3
22.04.23	Gareji Sagarejo - WIT Georgia	3:0

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