Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 - Round 30

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tsentraluri Stadioni (Dusheti) 🌤️ ...


	Aragvi Dusheti		Gareji Sagarejo

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	2.75
	2.31	3.03	2.77
	2.38	3.16	2.81	Watch
	2.25	2.95	2.7
	2.38	3.1	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.5)	3.05 ↓ (3.1)	2.73 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aragvi Dusheti
38.2%

Draw
29.2%

Gareji Sagarejo
32.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.4%

29.3%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

31.2%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aragvi Dusheti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Gareji Sagarejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aragvi Dusheti than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gareji Sagarejo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Aragvi Dusheti - Gareji Sagarejo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vekua G. (G) 13. Javakhishvili I. 3. Molashvili T. (C) 21. Mensa N. 5. Chokheli L. 18. Bregvadze T. 30. Bzekalava T. 27. Nuhu B. 11. Dvalishvili S. 10. Kobakhidze L. 16. Amoako D.	12. Bediashvili G. (G) 30. Zurabiani D. 24. Samadashvili G. 26. Eradze Z. 23. Gulisashvili I. 10. Babunadze T. 4. Tolordava L. (C) 8. Tsetskhladze G. 17. Kalandadze L. 29. Gugberidze B. 11. Aidarashvili D.
Substitutes
8. Antwi P. 17. Janelidze G. 12. Kutateladze G. (G) 7. Pipia G. 26. Suleimani S. 29. Tvildiani G. 14. Zaridze I.	32. Abramishvili G. (G) 19. Beria D. 9. Gelashvili N. 22. Grigalashvili N. 35. Kikvadze G. 7. Kometiani M. 21. Mushkudiani M. 5. Nikolaishvili G. 14. Tchikaidze I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Bzekalava T. ↓, Pipia G. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Chokheli L. 🟨,
63', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
89', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aragvi won 1.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Aragvi may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Aragvi has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:12 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Aragvi against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 4:9 goals (averaging 1.3:3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Gareji Sagarejo	30	15	9	6	37:30	7	54
6	Dusheti	30	11	6	13	32:41	-9	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aragvi Dusheti
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
17.10.26	Samtredia - Aragvi Dusheti	0:1 ✺
10.10.26	Aragvi Dusheti - Telavi	1:4 ✺
20.09.26	Sioni Bolnisi - Aragvi Dusheti	1:2 ✺
16.09.26	Aragvi Dusheti - Odishi 1919	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Merani Martvili - Aragvi Dusheti	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 WLWLL
- Gareji Sagarejo
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
17.10.26	Gareji Sagarejo - Telavi	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Shturmi - Gareji Sagarejo	1:0 ✺
16.09.26	Gareji Sagarejo - Gori	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Samtredia - Gareji Sagarejo	6:1 ✺
06.09.26	Gareji Sagarejo - Sioni Bolnisi	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
15.08.26	Gareji Sagarejo - Aragvi Dusheti	0:2
10.05.26	Aragvi Dusheti - Gareji Sagarejo	0:1
11.03.26	Gareji Sagarejo - Aragvi Dusheti	1:0
05.10.24	Aragvi Dusheti - Gareji Sagarejo	1:3
10.08.24	Gareji Sagarejo - Aragvi Dusheti	2:0
01.05.24	Aragvi Dusheti - Gareji Sagarejo	3:5
07.03.24	Gareji Sagarejo - Aragvi Dusheti	0:1

Aragvi Dusheti - Gareji Sagarejo