Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 - Round 12

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Tsentraluri Stadioni (Dusheti)


	Aragvi Dusheti		Gareji Sagarejo

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.1	2.42
	2.59	3.21	2.35
	2.64	3.35	2.41	Watch
	2.63	3	2.4
	3.15	3.1	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (3.15)	3.15 ↑ (3.1)	2.36 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aragvi Dusheti
33%

Draw
28.7%

Gareji Sagarejo
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

29.6%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

28.5%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aragvi Dusheti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Gareji Sagarejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aragvi Dusheti than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gareji Sagarejo than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Aragvi Dusheti - Gareji Sagarejo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kutateladze G. (C) 20. Oppong A. 14. Zaridze I. 26. Tuychibaev M. 24. Gognadze T. 27. Nuhu B. 3. Molashvili T. 17. Janelidze G. 11. Dvalishvili S. 30. Bzekalava T. 16. Amoako D.	12. Bediashvili G. (G) 30. Zurabiani D. 24. Samadashvili G. 26. Eradze Z. 23. Gulisashvili I. 4. Tolordava L. (C) 5. Nikolaishvili G. 17. Kalandadze L. 10. Babunadze T. 11. Aidarashvili D. 14. Tchikaidze I.
Substitutes
8. Akhvlediani N. 1. Chikashua G. (G) 5. Chokheli L. 7. Gabisonia D. 10. Kobakhidze L. 22. Kokosadze N. 19. Ksovreli G. 6. Mekhtievi I. 21. Mensa N.	3. Chokheli N. 9. Gelashvili N. 6. Gogokhia N. 22. Grigalashvili N. 29. Gugberidze B. 15. Kapanadze T. 1. Liparteliani A. (G) 21. Ninidze N. 8. Tsetskhladze G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Molashvili T. 🟨,
38', Janelidze G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Tchikaidze I. ↓, Gugberidze B. ↑,
65', Nuhu B. ↓, Ksovreli G. ↑,
76', Zurabiani D. 🟨,
78', Tolordava L. ↓, Tsetskhladze G. ↑,
78', Babunadze T. ↓, Ninidze N. ↑,
80', 0 - 1, Gugberidze B. ⚽,
83', Tuychibaev M. ↓, Kobakhidze L. ↑,
85', Janelidze G. 🟨,
86', Kalandadze L. ↓, Kapanadze T. ↑,
86', Aidarashvili D. ↓, Grigalashvili N. ↑,
90+4', Grigalashvili N. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga).

Aragvi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gareji is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gareji may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gareji is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aragvi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Aragvi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 2:4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Gareji Sagarejo	27	14	8	5	35:28	7	50
6	Dusheti	27	10	5	12	30:37	-7	35

Last Results with these Odds

Gareji Sagarejo - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.31%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aragvi Dusheti
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
06.05.26	Samtredia - Aragvi Dusheti	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Aragvi Dusheti - Telavi	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Sioni Bolnisi - Aragvi Dusheti	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	Aragvi Dusheti - Odishi 1919	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Merani Martvili - Aragvi Dusheti	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWTWT
- Gareji Sagarejo
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
06.05.26	Gareji Sagarejo - Telavi	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Shturmi - Gareji Sagarejo	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Gareji Sagarejo - Gori	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Samtredia - Gareji Sagarejo	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Gareji Sagarejo - Odishi 1919	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
11.03.26	Gareji Sagarejo - Aragvi Dusheti	1:0
05.10.24	Aragvi Dusheti - Gareji Sagarejo	1:3
10.08.24	Gareji Sagarejo - Aragvi Dusheti	2:0
01.05.24	Aragvi Dusheti - Gareji Sagarejo	3:5
07.03.24	Gareji Sagarejo - Aragvi Dusheti	0:1

Aragvi Dusheti - Gareji Sagarejo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide