Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Relegation - Final

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Spaeri Stadium (Tbilisi)

Referee: Kruashvili G. (Geo)


	Spaeri		Gareji Sagarejo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.27	3.31	2.74
	2.90	3.01	2.47	Watch
	2.38	3	2.7
	2.35	3.13	2.72
	2.25	3.25	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (3.1)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	2.69 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spaeri
37.3%

Draw
28.9%

Gareji Sagarejo
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

28.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

24.5%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spaeri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spaeri's performance.

Gareji Sagarejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gareji Sagarejo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spaeri than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gareji Sagarejo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Spaeri - Gareji Sagarejo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Putkaradze B. (G) 22. Chagunava N. 20. Kentchadze N. (C) 31. Bunturi G. 14. Samkharadze G. 8. Maisuradze S. 5. Tsalughelashvili T. 18. Poniava P. 12. Barabadze L. 7. Gegiadze S. 30. Basilashvili Z.	1. Kutaladze L. (G) 13. Galakhvaridze N. 26. Gulisashvili I. 3. Kamladze I. 2. Mosashvili B. 21. Dzebniauri T. 8. Tsetskhladze T. 9. Gogolashvili G. 16. Skhirtladze D. 40. Kometiani M. 10. Papava L. (C)
Substitutes
23. Chomakhidze N. (G) 6. Chotalishvili T. 24. Golubiani Z. 4. Grigalashvili G. 10. Kobakhidze L. 13. Maghaldadze G. 40. Mathenjwa S. 2. Pirtakhia G. 9. Tsetskhladze G.	27. Aleksidze T. 19. Ekongolo F. 7. Gogoberishvili B. 28. Gurgenidze L. (G) 15. Kapanadze T. 14. Parunashvili L. 23. Tolordava L. 17. Vekua G.
Coaches
Kighuradze A.	Mikadze G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Samkharadze G. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Basilashvili Z. ⚽, Maisuradze S. (A),
32', Kamladze I. 🟨,
33', Tsalughelashvili T. 🟨,
43', Poniava P. 🟨,
43', Gogolashvili G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Kamladze I. ↓, Parunashvili L. ↑,
46', Kometiani M. ↓, Vekua G. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Papava L. (Penalty Awarded),
54', Maisuradze S. ↓, Mathenjwa S. ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Papava L. (Penalty Awarded),
66', Basilashvili Z. 🟨,
66', Basilashvili Z. ↓, Maghaldadze G. ↑,
77', Tsetskhladze T. 🟨,
86', Poniava P. ↓, Pirtakhia G. ↑,
89', Dzebniauri T. ↓, Gogoberishvili B. ↑,
90+5', Putkaradze B. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-0. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spaeri won 1.

Spaeri has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gareji has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Gareji may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gareji will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Spaeri won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:38. (average 1.4:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Spaeri won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 1.2:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spaeri FC
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
10.12.25	Gareji Sagarejo - Spaeri	0:2 ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
25.11.25	Sioni Bolnisi - Spaeri	3:0 ✺
21.11.25	Spaeri - Rustavi	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Samtredia - Spaeri	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Spaeri - Merani Martvili	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLWTT
- Gareji Sagarejo
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
10.12.25	Gareji Sagarejo - Spaeri	0:2 ✺
06.12.25	Torpedo Kutaisi - Gareji Sagarejo	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Gareji Sagarejo - Iberia 1999	0:4 ✺
25.11.25	Gagra - Gareji Sagarejo	4:1 ✺
21.11.25	Gareji Sagarejo - Telavi	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
10.12.25	Gareji Sagarejo - Spaeri	0:2
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
19.10.24	Spaeri - Gareji Sagarejo	1:3
17.08.24	Gareji Sagarejo - Spaeri	5:1
11.05.24	Spaeri - Gareji Sagarejo	1:2
12.03.24	Gareji Sagarejo - Spaeri	1:1
03.11.23	Spaeri - Gareji Sagarejo	0:5
23.08.23	Gareji Sagarejo - Spaeri	3:2

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