Match Info

GEORGIA: Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 - Round 27

Date: 30 September 2024, Monday

Location: Mikheil Meskhi Stadium (Tbilisi)


	Lokomotivi Tbilisi		Gareji Sagarejo

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.45	2.24
	2.63	3.47	2.29
	2.62	3.4	2.2
	2.63	3.46	2.27
	2.75	3.45	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.97)	3.45 ↓ (3.47)	2.25 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotivi Tbilisi
33.7%

Draw
26.2%

Gareji Sagarejo
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

26.4%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

24.6%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotivi Tbilisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Gareji Sagarejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotivi Tbilisi than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gareji Sagarejo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Gareji Sagarejo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Shovnadze L. (G) 38. Chachua R. 22. Bukiya D. 26. Geguchadze G. 13. Kharebava G. 6. Chile F. 5. Shetsiruli S. 40. Mchedlishvili R. 10. Kekelidze L. (C) 30. Menteshashvili L. 14. Makharoblidze B.	28. Gurgenidze L. (G) 13. Galakhvaridze N. 3. Mirtskhulava B. 6. Kasrelishvili J. 2. Mosashvili B. 8. Kakashvili K. 17. Vekua G. 19. Gogoberishvili B. 9. Poniava P. (C) 20. Samassa M. 10. Papava L.
Substitutes
4. Chanturia N. 2. Chokheli N. 12. Khelashvili L. (G) 1. Kopaliani S. (G) 9. Ozbetelashvili L. 8. Samurkasovi D. 16. Shashiashvili S. 18. Tabatadze I. 35. Tsulukidze L.	27. Aleksidze T. 25. Chikashua G. (G) 16. Gvasalia G. 15. Kapanadze T. 39. Kupatadze D. (G) 22. Lekvtadze I. 7. Sardalishvili M. 11. Spanderashvili N. 23. Tolordava L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Shetsiruli S. 🟨,
32', Menteshashvili L. 🟨,
34', Kasrelishvili J. 🟨,
43', Amoako D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', Poniava P. 🟨,
53', Kekelidze L. ↓, Samurkasovi D. ↑,
53', Menteshashvili L. ↓, Tsulukidze L. ↑,
54', Chachua R. 🟨,
55', 0 - 1, Papava L. (Pen),
66', Poniava P. ↓, Sardalishvili M. ↑,
70', Shetsiruli S. ↓, Ozbetelashvili L. ↑,
74', Gogoberishvili B. ↓, Lekvtadze I. ↑,
77', Chile F. 🟨,
80', Vekua G. ↓, Tolordava L. ↑,
80', Samassa M. ↓, Spanderashvili N. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Mirtskhulava B. (Own goal),
90', Lekvtadze I. 🟨,
90+1', Bukiya D. 🟨,
90+2', Chile F. ↓, Tabatadze I. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, Papava L. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotivi Tbilisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
26.09.24	Aragvi Dusheti - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Kolkheti Khobi - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	0:1 ✺
15.09.24	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Rustavi	4:1 ✺
01.09.24	Sioni Bolnisi - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	2:0 ✺
28.08.24	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Shturmi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWWLL
- Gareji Sagarejo
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
26.09.24	Gareji Sagarejo - Kolkheti Khobi	4:0 ✺
22.09.24	Rustavi - Gareji Sagarejo	2:1 ✺
Georgian Cup
18.09.24	Gareji Sagarejo - Kolkheti Poti	1:2 ET ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
14.09.24	Gareji Sagarejo - Sioni Bolnisi	3:0 ✺
01.09.24	Shturmi - Gareji Sagarejo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
05.08.24	Gareji Sagarejo - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	1:0
27.04.24	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Gareji Sagarejo	4:1
09.11.23	Gareji Sagarejo - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	2:1
27.09.23	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Gareji Sagarejo	1:3
23.05.23	Gareji Sagarejo - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	3:2
06.04.23	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Gareji Sagarejo	3:0

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