Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 33

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday


	Gares		Peña Sport

	1	X	2
	6.6	4.4	1.39
	6.59	4.34	1.39
	7.12	4.33	1.37
	6.6	4.4	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.73 ↑ (6.57)	4.37 ↑ (4.3)	1.39 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gares
13.5%

Draw
20.8%

Peña Sport
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.8%

21.1%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

20.8%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Peña Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gares than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Sport than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Gares is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Peña Sport's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gares may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gares has had a series of away games.

In this match, Peña Sport is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gares won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Gares
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
27.04.25	Rotxapea - Gares	3:0 ✺
23.04.25	Beti Kozkor - Gares	1:0 ✺
16.04.25	Gares - Mutilvera	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Huarte - Gares	3:0 ✺
29.03.25	Beti Onak - Gares	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLTLL
- Peña Sport
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
26.04.25	Peña Sport - Pamplona	3:1 ✺
05.04.25	Egüés - Peña Sport	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Peña Sport - Txantrea	2:2 ✺
26.03.25	Peña Sport - Cantolagua	2:0 ✺
21.03.25	San Juan - Peña Sport	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
21.12.24	Peña Sport - Gares	1:0

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