The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Juan 32.2%
Draw 30.8%
Peña Sport 37%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.5%
30%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.5%
30%
38.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Peña Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Juan than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Sport than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
San Juan - Peña Sport Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Recalde J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 🟥,
90+4', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Juan won 4.
San Juan has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Peña Sport is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, San Juan won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:3. (average 2.3:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, San Juan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2.7:0.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
AD San Juan
5
2
1
2
9:7
2
7
Last Results with these Odds
Peña Sport - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 38.48%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.