Match Info

I Lyga - Round 10

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK


	Garliava		Kauno Žalgiris 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.32	4.85	6.9	Watch
	1.36	4.45	5.98
	1.38	4.69	6.37	Watch
	1.36	4.33	6
	1.39	4.55	6.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.3)	4.57 ↓ (5.7)	6.28 ↓ (6.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Garliava
66%

Draw
19.7%

Kauno Žalgiris 2
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

16.1%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.6%

15%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Garliava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Kauno Žalgiris 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garliava than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Garliava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris 2 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Garliava - Kauno Žalgiris 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, ⚽,
87', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Garliava has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kauno Žalgiris 2 is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Garliava is the clear favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Garliava won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Garliava won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Garliava	25	8	4	13	31:28	3	28
12	Kauno Zalgiris 2	25	7	1	17	23:43	-20	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Garliava
Lithuanian Division 2
09.05.26	BFA Vilnius - Garliava	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Garliava - Ekranas	3:1 ✺
24.04.26	Babrungas Plungė - Garliava	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Garliava - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Tauras Tauragė - Garliava	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLTL
- Kauno Žalgiris 2
Lithuanian Division 2
08.05.26	Ekranas - Kauno Žalgiris 2	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:1 ✺
24.04.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Minija Kretinga	0:4 ✺
12.04.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
08.11.24	Garliava - Kauno Žalgiris 2	0:4
21.06.24	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Garliava	2:2
13.10.23	Garliava - Kauno Žalgiris 2	0:0
29.05.23	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Garliava	2:2

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