Match Info

Championship - Round 20

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring (Palembang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio


	Sumsel United		Garudayaksa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.48	2.73	Watch
	2.3	3	2.75
	2.32	3.25	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.57)	3.24 ↓ (3.47)	2.75 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumsel United
39.2%

Draw
27.9%

Garudayaksa
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

26.2%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

26.4%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumsel United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Garudayaksa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Garudayaksa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumsel United than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garudayaksa than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Garudayaksa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sumsel United - Garudayaksa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dicki Agung (G) 18. Afrizal S. 10. Dall'Oca 19. Fariansyah A. 5. Fernando Barbosa 23. Gatra B. 99. Hidayat R. (C) 96. Hutagalung A. 9. Juninho 3. Kapisa O. 81. Kemaluddin M.	65. Nurdin R. (G) 10. Everton Nascimento (C) 99. Frydek Ch. 2. Gaspuitis V. 5. Gigis A. 93. Nirwanto B. 27. Nova A. 77. Saimima S. 14. Utama R. 11. Walidain B. 21. Zacky D.
Substitutes
66. Bajo I. 22. Darmawan T. 27. Fariel N. 4. Fatchu Rochman M. 8. Gagarin J. 16. Ibrahim H. 13. Karman K. 24. Kurniawan I. 78. Maulana R. (G) 25. Muzakkar K. 15. Wahyu D. 42. Zakaria	23. Beny Y. (G) 4. Berlian A. 6. Cingi M. 17. Hidayat T. 33. Komang Tri 26. Nico R. 18. Poerba A. 96. Redondo R. (G) 9. Rizky D. 54. Tampubolon R. 72. Tri Maulana D. 7. Vermansyah A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Saimima S. 🟨,
28', Kemaluddin M. 🟨,
44', Hutagalung A. 🟨,
45+1', Nova A. ↓, Komang Tri ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gatra B. ↓, Darmawan T. ↑,
46', Utama R. ↓, Tampubolon R. ↑,
46', Zacky D. ↓, Vermansyah A. ↑,
54', Kemaluddin M. ↓, Ibrahim H. ↑,
56', Kapisa O. 🟨,
67', Kapisa O. ↓, Fatchu Rochman M. ↑,
68', Hidayat R. ↓, Karman K. ↑,
68', Walidain B. ↓, Nico R. ↑,
76', Fatchu Rochman M. 🟨,
80', Saimima S. ↓, Berlian A. ↑,
86', 1 - 0, Muzakkar K. ⚽,
90+2', Dall'Oca 🟨,
90+2', Dall'Oca ↓, Wahyu D. ↑,
90+7', Dicki Agung 🟨,

Preview

Sumsel United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Garudayaksa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sumsel United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Sumsel United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumsel United
Indonesian Championship
14.02.26	PSMS Medan - Sumsel United	3:1 ✺
30.01.26	Sumsel United - Garudayaksa	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Sriwijaya - Sumsel United	0:5 ✺
17.01.26	Isenmulang Kalteng - Sumsel United	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Sumsel United - PSPS Riau	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTWLW
- Garudayaksa FC
Indonesian Championship
14.02.26	Garudayaksa - Persekat Tegal	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Sumsel United - Garudayaksa	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Garudayaksa - PSMS Medan	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Persikad Depok - Garudayaksa	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Garudayaksa - Adhyaksa Bekasi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Championship
30.01.26	Sumsel United - Garudayaksa	0:0
07.11.25	Garudayaksa - Sumsel United	0:1

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