The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Garudayaksa 60.6%
Draw 21.6%
Sumsel United 17.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.8%
18.8%
12.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73.3%
17.6%
11.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Garudayaksa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Garudayaksa's form might have worsened.
Sumsel United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sumsel United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garudayaksa than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Garudayaksa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumsel United than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sumsel United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Garudayaksa - Sumsel United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
65. Nurdin R. (G) 71. Al Ghuzat I. 4. Berlian A. (C) 20. Concha V. 10. Everton Nascimento 5. Gigis A. 33. Komang Tri 93. Nirwanto B. 70. Ryu Seung-Woo 7. Vermansyah A. 21. Zacky D.
78. Maulana R. (G) 18. Afrizal S. 10. Dall'Oca 19. Fariansyah A. 4. Fatchu Rochman M. 5. Fernando Barbosa 23. Gatra B. 96. Hutagalung A. 16. Ibrahim H. (C) 9. Juninho 25. Muzakkar K.
Substitutes
23. Beny Y. (G) 8. Cahya A. 3. Choiri O. 6. Cingi M. 28. Fatari B. 17. Hidayat T. 24. Kelilauw A. 27. Nova A. 54. Tampubolon R. 72. Tri Maulana D. 14. Utama R. 11. Walidain B.
22. Darmawan T. 27. Fariel N. 8. Gagarin J. 3. Kapisa O. 13. Karman K. 24. Kurniawan I. 17. Lating I. 20. Syafrinaldi 64. Triatmojo P. (G) 42. Zakaria
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Fariansyah A. 🟥,
14', Fatchu Rochman M. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Muzakkar K. ⚽, Fernando Barbosa (A),
34', Al Ghuzat I. ↓, Kelilauw A. ↑,
34', Berlian A. ↓, Cahya A. ↑,
39', Gatra B. ↓, Karman K. ↑,
41', Maulana R. 🟨,
44', Cahya A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zacky D. ↓, Hidayat T. ↑,
56', Afrizal S. ↓, Fariel N. ↑,
56', Muzakkar K. ↓, Darmawan T. ↑,
62', Ibrahim H. ↓, Kurniawan I. ↑,
71', Vermansyah A. ↓, Tampubolon R. ↑,
88', Fariel N. ↓, Lating I. ↑,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Final) and 5).
Garudayaksa is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Sumsel United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Garudayaksa is considered a favorite.
We predict that Garudayaksa will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.
The teams have not played against each other recently.